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Al Reef vs Manama Club

Bahrain Bahrain

Bahrain Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Manama Club in this Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 0-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Al Reef
15%
Draws
49%
Manama Club
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manama Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Reef haven't matched Manama Club's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Manama Club taking it.
  • Manama Club arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Manama Club, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Al Reef Clean Sheet 12%
Manama Club Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Reef Manama Club
Matches Played 13 39
Wins 3 14
Draws 2 9
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 0.92 1.49
Goals Conceded 2.54 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2024 Bahrain Cup
Al Reef vs Manama Club
0:5
Mar 19, 2023 Bahrain Cup
Al Reef vs Manama Club
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Reef 10 / 100
Manama Club 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Reef Manama Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manama Club Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Manama Club has conceded goals in 72% of their last 39 outings.

Away concern: Manama Club has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Al Reef scored in 54% of their last 13 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Reef VS Manama Club
2 Goals Scored 0.5
3 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Reef

(Home)
12 Jan
Isa Town
3 : 2
Al Reef
02 Feb
Al Reef
1 : 6
Al Khalidiyah
25 Jan
Umm Al Hassam
0 : 1
Al Reef
24 Jan
Al Reef
0 : 5
Manama Club
17 Jan
Al Hidd
4 : 0
Al Reef
Page 1 of 3

Manama Club

(Away)
10 Sept
Al Muharraq
3 : 1
Manama Club
05 Sept
Manama Club
1 : 5
Al Riffa
29 Aug
Aali Club
1 : 1
Manama Club
30 May
Al Najma
3 : 2
Manama Club
25 May
Manama Club
3 : 0
Al Ittihad
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hidd 5 5 0 0 13:2 15
2 Al Riffa 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
3 Ali CSC 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
4 Al Ittihad 5 2 0 3 8:9 6
5 Isa Town 5 1 0 4 7:15 3
6 Al Budaiya 5 1 0 4 4:8 3
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manama Club 5 5 0 0 17:2 15
2 Al Ahli 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
3 Busaiteen 5 3 0 2 10:11 9
4 Al Reef 5 2 1 2 7:11 7
5 Al Najma 5 1 0 4 6:11 3
6 Al Ittifaq 5 0 0 5 4:15 0
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Khalidiyah 5 5 0 0 14:0 15
2 Al Shabbab 5 3 1 1 10:2 10
3 Al Hala 5 2 0 3 7:6 6
4 Umm Al Hassam 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
5 Qalali 5 1 1 3 2:9 4
6 Malkia 5 1 0 4 2:15 3
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahrain SC 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
2 Bouri 5 2 2 1 5:5 8
3 East Riffa 5 2 1 2 8:3 7
4 Al Muharraq 5 2 1 2 13:10 7
5 Sitra 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
6 Tadamun Buri 5 1 0 4 4:18 3
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)