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Stadium Background

Al Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Riyadh host Al Qadsiah in the Saudi Professional League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Al Riyadh have averaged 1.17 scored and 1.66 conceded recently, against Al Qadsiah's 2.52 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Al Qadsiah slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 29, 2026, ending 0:4. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.88, favoring Al Qadsiah. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Al Riyadh
35%
Draws
38%
Al Qadsiah
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Qadsiah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Al Riyadh haven't matched Al Qadsiah's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Al Qadsiah a 38% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Al Qadsiah have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Al Riyadh Clean Sheet 10%
Al Qadsiah Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Riyadh Al Qadsiah
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 8 18
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.17 2.52
Goals Conceded 1.66 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah
0:4
Jan 4, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Riyadh
4:0
Mar 2, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Riyadh
1:0
Oct 4, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah
2:1
Feb 28, 2023 Division 1
Al Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Riyadh 10 / 100
Al Qadsiah 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Riyadh Al Qadsiah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Qadsiah Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Riyadh found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Al Qadsiah's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Al Riyadh went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Riyadh VS Al Qadsiah
0.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Riyadh

(Home)
11 Oct
Al Fayha
1 : 1
Al Riyadh
13 Sept
Al Riyadh
2 : 0
Al Kholood
07 Sept
Al Khaleej
0 : 0
Al Riyadh
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0
Al Riyadh
28 Aug
Al Riyadh
1 : 0
Neom SC
Page 1 of 6

Al Qadsiah

(Away)
16 Oct
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Abha
12 Oct
Pakhtakor
1 : 1
Al Qadsiah
09 Oct
Al Kholood
0 : 5
Al Qadsiah
14 Sept
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Al Wasl
11 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 3
Al Ettifaq FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qadsiah 9 7 1 1 23:9 22
2 Al Hilal 8 7 0 1 26:7 21
3 Al Nassr 8 6 1 1 19:7 19
4 Al Ittihad 8 5 2 1 14:9 17
5 Neom SC 9 5 1 3 14:8 16
6 Al Ahli SC 8 5 0 3 20:10 15
7 Al Ettifaq FC 9 4 3 2 13:12 15
8 Al Diriyah 9 3 3 3 8:9 12
9 Al Kholood 9 3 3 3 14:18 12
10 Al Khaleej 10 2 6 2 9:13 12
11 Al Hazem Rass 9 2 3 4 10:13 9
12 Al Riyadh 8 2 3 3 9:17 9
13 Al Shabab 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
14 Al Fayha 9 1 4 4 8:14 7
15 Al Faisaly 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
16 Al Fateh 10 1 3 6 9:20 6
17 Al Taawon 9 0 4 5 4:16 4
18 Abha 8 0 2 6 6:15 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)