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Al Riyadh vs Neom SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Lekhal V.
45'
Camara H.
45'
Al Jayzani F.

AI Match Summary

The Saudi Professional League game between Al Riyadh and Neom SC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Riyadh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Al Riyadh
30%
Draws
43%
Neom SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Neom SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Neom SC come out ahead of Al Riyadh on wins alone.
  • Model gives Neom SC a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Al Riyadh Clean Sheet 10%
Neom SC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Riyadh Neom SC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.66 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Neom SC
1:0
Feb 6, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Neom SC vs Al Riyadh
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Neom SC
2:3
May 3, 2012 Division 1
Al Riyadh vs Neom SC
2:0
Jan 20, 2012 Division 1
Neom SC vs Al Riyadh
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Riyadh Compare

Top Goalscorer Okou T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Neom SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Riyadh 10 / 100
Neom SC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Riyadh Neom SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neom SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Riyadh scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Neom SC has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Al Riyadh went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Riyadh VS Neom SC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Riyadh

(Home)
11 Oct
Al Fayha
1 : 1
Al Riyadh
13 Sept
Al Riyadh
2 : 0
Al Kholood
07 Sept
Al Khaleej
0 : 0
Al Riyadh
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0
Al Riyadh
28 Aug
Al Riyadh
1 : 0
Neom SC
Page 1 of 6

Neom SC

(Away)
13 Oct
Neom SC
4 : 0
Al Shabab Hadramaut
10 Oct
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1
Neom SC
13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2
Al Fateh
07 Sept
Al Hilal
0 : 2
Neom SC
03 Sept
Neom SC
3 : 0
Al Khaleej
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 8 7 0 1 26:7 21
2 Al Qadsiah 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 Al Nassr 8 6 1 1 19:7 19
4 Al Ittihad 8 5 2 1 14:9 17
5 Neom SC 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
6 Al Ahli SC 8 5 0 3 20:10 15
7 Al Ettifaq FC 8 3 3 2 12:12 12
8 Al Kholood 8 3 3 2 12:15 12
9 Al Diriyah 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Al Riyadh 8 2 3 3 9:17 9
12 Al Shabab 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
13 Al Fayha 8 1 4 3 8:12 7
14 Al Khaleej 8 0 6 2 4:11 6
15 Al Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
16 Al Fateh 8 0 3 5 4:15 3
17 Al Taawon 8 0 3 5 3:15 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)