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Al Riyadi Abbasiyah vs Al Ansar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah host Al Ansar in the Premier League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Al Ansar have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Al Riyadi Abbasiyah have conceded 1.32 and scored 1.07. Past meetings favor Al Ansar slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 12, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.06 - 1.38) back Al Ansar to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
15%
Draws
58%
Al Ansar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Ansar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ansar lately — more wins on the board than Al Riyadi Abbasiyah.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Clean Sheet 17%
Al Ansar Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Al Ansar
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 9 24
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.07 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2026 Premier League
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah vs Al Ansar
0:0
Feb 17, 2026 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
1:2
Nov 7, 2025 Premier League
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah vs Al Ansar
0:1
Feb 1, 2025 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 31 / 100
Al Ansar 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Al Ansar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Al Riyadi Abbasiyah stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Al Ansar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah VS Al Ansar
1.25 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

(Home)
18 Oct
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
1 : 2
Jwayya SC
08 Oct
Safa
2 : 1
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
29 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 1
Tadamon
25 Jul
Racing
1 : 2
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
17 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
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Al Ansar

(Away)
20 Oct
Paro
1 : 2
Al Ansar
17 Oct
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Al Ittihad Aleppo
08 Oct
Al Ansar
2 : 1
Al Hikma
04 Sept
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Al Nahda Ber Al Yaas
02 Aug
Nejmeh SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jwayya SC 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Tripoli SC 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 Tadamon 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
4 Safa 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
5 Al Ahed 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
6 Nejmeh SC 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
7 Al Ansar 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
8 Al Hikma 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
10 Al Sahel 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
11 Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
12 Al Mabarrah 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Premier League (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League (Losers stage)