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Al Riyadi Abbasiyah vs Racing

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Hallak Khoder
Assist: Ajami F.
55' Event
Al Haj Y.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al Riyadi Abbasiyah and Racing finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Riyadi Abbasiyah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
15%
Draws
0%
Racing
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Riyadi Abbasiyah come out ahead of Racing on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Al Riyadi Abbasiyah taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Riyadi Abbasiyah here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Clean Sheet 68%
Racing Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Racing
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 13 1
Draws 7 2
Losses 13 29
Goals Scored 1.21 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.12 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Premier League
Racing vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
1:2
Jul 13, 2026 Premier League
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah vs Racing
4:0
Jul 2, 2026 Premier League
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah vs Racing
2:0
Dec 28, 2025 Premier League
Racing vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
1:3
Jul 1, 2025 Premier League
Racing vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Compare

Top Goalscorer Hallak Khoder
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Racing Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 95 / 100
Racing 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Racing

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Racing has conceded goals in 94% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Al Riyadi Abbasiyah stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Racing lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah VS Racing
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

(Home)
29 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 1
Tadamon
25 Jul
Racing
1 : 2
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
17 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
13 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
4 : 0
Racing
02 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 0
Racing
Page 1 of 7

Racing

(Away)
25 Jul
Racing
1 : 2
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
21 Jul
Tadamon
1 : 0
Racing
13 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
4 : 0
Racing
10 Jul
Racing
1 : 3
Tadamon
02 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 0
Racing
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)