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Al Riyadi Abbasiyah vs Tadamon

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Ofori S.
(Penalty)
17' Event
Toure B.
Assist: Al Samahi Z. H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
20%
Draws
28%
Tadamon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Riyadi Abbasiyah lately — more wins on the board than Tadamon.
  • Al Riyadi Abbasiyah are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Clean Sheet 68%
Tadamon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Tadamon
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.23 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Premier League
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah vs Tadamon
2:1
Jul 17, 2026 Premier League
Tadamon vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
0:0
Feb 13, 2026 Premier League
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah vs Tadamon
1:1
Oct 17, 2025 Premier League
Tadamon vs Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
1:3
Sep 20, 2024 Premier League
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah vs Tadamon
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Tadamon Compare

Top Goalscorer Toure B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 95 / 100
Tadamon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Tadamon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Riyadi Abbasiyah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Al Riyadi Abbasiyah remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Tadamon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah VS Tadamon
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Riyadi Abbasiyah

(Home)
29 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 1
Tadamon
25 Jul
Racing
1 : 2
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
17 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
13 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
4 : 0
Racing
02 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 0
Racing
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Tadamon

(Away)
29 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 1
Tadamon
21 Jul
Tadamon
1 : 0
Racing
17 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
10 Jul
Racing
1 : 3
Tadamon
03 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 3
Al Ansar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)