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Stadium Background

Al-Rustaq vs Al-Shabab

Oman Oman

Professional League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Al Mamari M.
55' Event
Al Balushi A.
58' Event
Al Hadabi O.

AI Match Summary

Al-Shabab in this Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Shabab.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Al-Rustaq
20%
Draws
57%
Al-Shabab
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al-Shabab

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al-Shabab lately — more wins on the board than Al-Rustaq.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Professional League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Al-Shabab have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Al-Rustaq Clean Sheet 23%
Al-Shabab Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Rustaq Al-Shabab
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 0.97 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Professional League
Al-Shabab vs Al-Rustaq
1:0
Jan 16, 2026 Professional League
Al-Rustaq vs Al-Shabab
1:2
Oct 10, 2025 FA Cup
Al-Rustaq vs Al-Shabab
2:0
Apr 6, 2025 Professional League
Al-Rustaq vs Al-Shabab
1:3
Sep 24, 2024 Professional League
Al-Shabab vs Al-Rustaq
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Rustaq Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Hadabi O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Shabab Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Mamari M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Balushi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Rustaq 33 / 100
Al-Shabab 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Rustaq Al-Shabab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Shabab Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Rustaq found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Al-Shabab's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Al-Rustaq remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Rustaq VS Al-Shabab
1.14 Goals Scored 1.25
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.38
43% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Rustaq

(Home)
23 May
Al-Rustaq
0 : 1
Oman Club
18 May
Al Khaboora
3 : 3
Al-Rustaq
12 May
Al-Rustaq
2 : 0
Ibri
04 May
Al-Shabab
1 : 0
Al-Rustaq
26 Apr
Al-Rustaq
2 : 4
Al Seeb
Page 1 of 6

Al-Shabab

(Away)
21 Sept
Al-Msnaa
0 : 1
Al-Shabab
11 Sept
Oman Club
0 : 2
Al-Shabab
05 Sept
Al-Shabab
2 : 3
Al Nahda
31 Aug
Sur Club
2 : 3
Al-Shabab
24 Aug
Al-Shabab
1 : 1
Al Nahda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Seeb 26 21 4 1 59:14 67
2 Al-Shabab 26 17 3 6 51:27 54
3 Al Nasr 26 16 5 5 35:20 53
4 Al Nahda 26 13 5 8 31:23 44
5 Bahla 26 12 4 10 39:32 40
6 Oman Club 26 11 6 9 27:28 39
7 Sohar 26 10 8 8 35:28 38
8 Sur Club 26 8 8 10 34:37 32
9 Dhofar 26 7 6 13 23:30 27
10 Al-Samail 26 6 8 12 25:39 26
11 Saham 26 7 5 14 22:44 26
12 Ibri 26 7 2 17 27:52 23
13 Al Khaboora 26 4 10 12 23:35 22
14 Al-Rustaq 26 3 6 17 24:46 15
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