Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al-Rustaq vs Sohar

Oman Oman

Sultan Cup 2025/2026
Fri, Dec 26, 2025
1 - 2
03:45 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Al Salti O.
75' Event
Muckette D.
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Sohar in this Sultan Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Al-Rustaq
30%
Draws
47%
Sohar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sohar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Sohar have won more games recently than Al-Rustaq.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Sohar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sohar, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Sohar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Al-Rustaq Clean Sheet 20%
Sohar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Rustaq Sohar
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 14
Draws 7 10
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0.97 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2026 Professional League
Sohar vs Al-Rustaq
2:0
Dec 26, 2025 Sultan Cup
Al-Rustaq vs Sohar
1:2
Oct 1, 2025 FA Cup
Sohar vs Al-Rustaq
1:0
Aug 18, 2025 Professional League
Al-Rustaq vs Sohar
2:4
Jan 23, 2025 Professional League
Al-Rustaq vs Sohar
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Rustaq Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Salti O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Sohar Compare

Top Goalscorer Muckette D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Rustaq 32 / 100
Sohar 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Rustaq Sohar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Rustaq scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Sohar let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Al-Rustaq went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Rustaq VS Sohar
1.33 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Rustaq

(Home)
23 May
Al-Rustaq
0 : 1
Oman Club
18 May
Al Khaboora
3 : 3
Al-Rustaq
12 May
Al-Rustaq
2 : 0
Ibri
04 May
Al-Shabab
1 : 0
Al-Rustaq
26 Apr
Al-Rustaq
2 : 4
Al Seeb
Page 1 of 6

Sohar

(Away)
24 Sept
Sohar
1 : 3
Al Seeb
11 Sept
Sohar
0 : 0
Dhofar
06 Sept
Fanja SC
0 : 1
Sohar
31 Aug
Sohar
0 : 0
Ibri
25 Aug
Ibri
1 : 3
Sohar
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Al-Shabab -
TBD -
Nizwa 1
Dhofar 3
Al-Mudhaibi 2
Al-Wahda 3
TBD -
Oman Club -
Al Khaboora -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Nasr -
Al-Rustaq -
TBD -
TBD -
Sohar -
Al Seeb -
TBD -
Jaalan 2
Salalah SC 1
Al-Samail 0
Muscat 2
TBD -
Saham -
Bahla -
TBD -
Ibri 0
Sur Club 1
Al-Msnaa 2
Fanja SC 1
TBD -
Al Nahda -
1/8-finals
Al-Shabab 0
Dhofar 1
Al-Wahda 1
Oman Club 2
Al Khaboora 1
Al Nasr 2
Al-Rustaq 1
Sohar 2
Al Seeb 2
Jaalan 0
Muscat 0
Saham 1
Bahla 1
Sur Club 2
Al-Msnaa 1
Al Nahda 3
Quarter-finals
Dhofar 0
Oman Club 1
Al Nasr 1
Sohar 0
Al Seeb 6
Saham 4
Sur Club 2
Al Nahda 6
Semi-finals
Oman Club 3
Al Nasr 1
Al Seeb 1
Al Nahda 2
Final
Oman Club 0
Al Nahda 2