Sport Picks
Al-Sadd vs Al Ittihad
Asia
AFC Champions League 2025/2026 Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha 
Match Events
7'
7'
Roberto Firmino
10'
10'
Aouar H.
18'
18'
En Nesyri Y.
Assist: Doumbia M.
AI Match Summary
Al Ittihad in this AFC Champions League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ittihad.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al-Sadd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Al-Sadd lately — more wins on the board than Al Ittihad.
- Al-Sadd are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Al-Sadd Clean Sheet 20%
Al Ittihad Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al-Sadd | Al Ittihad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 16 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.59 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 17, 2026 AFC Champions League
Al-Sadd vs Al Ittihad
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al-Sadd Compare
Top Goalscorer Mujica R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Al Ittihad Compare
Top Goalscorer Aouar H.
1 Goals Assists Leader En Nesyri Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al-Sadd 67 / 100
Al Ittihad 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al-Sadd Al Ittihad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al-Sadd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al-Sadd's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Al Ittihad let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Al-Sadd went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al-Sadd VS Al Ittihad
2.88 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Al-Sadd
(Home) 14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0 Al-Sadd
10 Sept
Al Sailiya
3 : 6 Al-Sadd
05 Sept
Al-Sadd
4 : 1 Al-Gharafa
01 Sept
Al-Sadd
2 : 1 Al-Gharafa
28 Aug
Qatar SC
2 : 6 Al-Sadd
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Al-Sadd
4 : 1 Al-Gharafa
01 Sept
Al-Sadd
2 : 1 Al-Gharafa
22 Aug
Al-Sadd
3 : 1 Al Ahli
27 Apr
Al-Sadd
3 : 2 Shamal
16 Apr
Al-Sadd
3 : 4 Vissel Kobe
Page 1 of 3
Al Ittihad
(Away) 14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1 Al Ittihad
11 Sept
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3 Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Fayha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Nassr
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0 Al Ittihad
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1 Al Ittihad
11 Sept
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3 Al Ittihad
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0 Al Ittihad
21 Aug
Al Qadsiah
0 : 1 Al Ittihad
18 Aug
Al Najma
0 : 3 Al Ittihad
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Buriram United F.C. | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 14 |
| 6 | Johor DT | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 11 |
| 7 | Seoul | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Gangwon | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 9 | Ulsan Hyundai | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
| 10 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2:11 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 17 |
| 3 | Tractor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | 17 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22:9 | 15 |
| 5 | Al Wahda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 14 |
| 6 | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:14 | 11 |
| 7 | Al-Duhail | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 8 |
| 8 | Al-Sadd | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:16 | 8 |
| 9 | Al Sharjah | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:16 | 8 |
| 10 | Al-Gharafa | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:21 | 6 |
| 11 | Al Shorta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | 5 |
| 12 | Nasaf Qarshi | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:17 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
