Sport Picks
Al-Sadd vs Al Mesaimeer
Qatar
QSL Cup 2025/2026 Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha 
Match Events
24'
24'
Saeed H.
42'
42'
Bakri A.
55'
55'
Dhaflaoui Y.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-3, with Al Mesaimeer advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Sadd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Al Mesaimeer haven't matched Al-Sadd's recent run of results.
- 54% — that's where the model lands on Al-Sadd taking it.
- Al-Sadd have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Al Mesaimeer, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Al-Sadd have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Al-Sadd Clean Sheet 20%
Al Mesaimeer Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al-Sadd | Al Mesaimeer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.53 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 27, 2025 QSL Cup
Al-Sadd vs Al Mesaimeer
1:3
Dec 20, 2015 QSL
Al-Sadd vs Al Mesaimeer
5:1
Sep 13, 2015 QSL
Al Mesaimeer vs Al-Sadd
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al-Sadd Compare
Top Goalscorer Bakri A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Al Mesaimeer Compare
Top Goalscorer Saeed H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dhaflaoui Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al-Sadd 85 / 100
Al Mesaimeer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al-Sadd Al Mesaimeer
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al-Sadd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al-Sadd found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 4.67 goals when they meet.
Al Mesaimeer's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Al-Sadd has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Al-Sadd VS Al Mesaimeer
2.5 Goals Scored 1.17
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 17%
Recent Form & Match History
Al-Sadd
(Home) 14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0 Al-Sadd
10 Sept
Al Sailiya
3 : 6 Al-Sadd
05 Sept
Al-Sadd
4 : 1 Al-Gharafa
01 Sept
Al-Sadd
2 : 1 Al-Gharafa
28 Aug
Qatar SC
2 : 6 Al-Sadd
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Al-Sadd
4 : 1 Al-Gharafa
01 Sept
Al-Sadd
2 : 1 Al-Gharafa
22 Aug
Al-Sadd
3 : 1 Al Ahli
27 Apr
Al-Sadd
3 : 2 Shamal
16 Apr
Al-Sadd
3 : 4 Vissel Kobe
Page 1 of 3
Al Mesaimeer
(Away) 08 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 1 Al-Kharitiyath
30 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 2 Umm-Salal
24 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 0 Muaither SC
30 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 3 Muaither SC
25 Apr
Al Mesaimeer
3 : 0 Al-Waab
Page 1 of 6
12 Apr
Lusail
3 : 0 Al Mesaimeer
05 Apr
Al Khor
2 : 0 Al Mesaimeer
08 Feb
Al-Kharitiyath
2 : 0 Al Mesaimeer
26 Jan
Al-Waab
3 : 1 Al Mesaimeer
21 Jan
Muaither SC
4 : 1 Al Mesaimeer
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Rayyan | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32:17 | 25 |
| 2 | Umm-Salal | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26:17 | 20 |
| 3 | Muaither SC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Al Arabi (Qatar) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 27:16 | 19 |
| 5 | Al-Waab | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:11 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Markhiya | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:12 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Sailiya | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16:17 | 18 |
| 8 | Al-Shahaniya | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Shamal | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 10 | Al Bidda | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 15 |
| 11 | Al Khor | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 12 | Al Mesaimeer | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 13 | Qatar SC | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 23:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Al-Kharitiyath | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:20 | 13 |
| 15 | Al Ahli | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 16 | Al-Duhail | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4:17 | 9 |
| 17 | Lusail | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15:26 | 7 |
| 18 | Al Wakra | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | 6 |
| 19 | Al-Gharafa | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:22 | 5 |
| 20 | Al-Sadd | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 18:31 | 5 |
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
