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Al Sadd vs Al Yarmuk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Yemen Yemen

Division 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Al Sadd and Al Yarmuk finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Al Sadd
35%
Draws
32%
Al Yarmuk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Yarmuk come out ahead of Al Sadd on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Al Sadd Clean Sheet 20%
Al Yarmuk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sadd Al Yarmuk
Matches Played 12 21
Wins 6 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 2 5
Goals Scored 1.58 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Division 1
Al Sadd vs Al Yarmuk
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sadd 31 / 100
Al Yarmuk 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sadd Al Yarmuk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Sadd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sadd found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (12 games).

Al Yarmuk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 21 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Al Sadd has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Sadd VS Al Yarmuk
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Sadd

(Home)
21 Aug
Tadamone Hadramout
0 : 2
Al Sadd
14 Aug
Fhman
2 : 0
Al Sadd
07 Aug
Al Sadd
3 : 0
Ittihad Hadramout
23 Jul
Al Sadd
1 : 2
Mukallah
18 Jul
Al Wahda
0 : 0
Al Sadd
Page 1 of 3

Al Yarmuk

(Away)
19 Aug
Al Oruba
0 : 1
Al Yarmuk
13 Aug
Al Wahda
0 : 0
Al Yarmuk
07 Aug
Al Ittihad
2 : 2
Al Yarmuk
22 Jul
Al Yarmuk
1 : 1
Tadamone Hadramout
16 Jul
Al Yarmuk
1 : 1
Al Ahli
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shabab Hadramaut 12 9 2 1 18:3 29
2 Tadamone Hadramout 12 8 2 2 15:5 26
3 Al Sadd 12 6 4 2 19:9 22
4 Al Ahli 12 6 4 2 14:5 22
5 Al Wahda 11 6 3 2 14:8 21
6 Fhman 12 6 2 4 16:9 20
7 Al Yarmuk 12 5 5 2 15:10 20
8 Mukallah 12 6 1 5 14:11 19
9 Al Oruba 12 6 1 5 15:16 19
10 Ittihad Hadramout 12 3 1 8 12:19 10
11 Al Ittihad 12 2 3 7 7:18 9
12 Al Hilal 11 2 1 8 8:22 7
13 Salam 12 2 0 10 6:20 6
14 Al Baydaa 12 1 1 10 6:24 4
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)