Sport Picks

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Al-Sadd vs Shamal

Qatar Qatar

QSL 2025/2026 Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha
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Match Events

20' Event
Afif A.
Assist: Pedro Miguel
22' Event
Roberto Firmino
Assist: Claudinho
30'
Waad M.

AI Match Summary

Al-Sadd in this QSL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Sadd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Al-Sadd
11%
Draws
9%
Shamal
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Al-Sadd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al-Sadd lately — more wins on the board than Shamal.
  • Al-Sadd are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular QSL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al-Sadd here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Al-Sadd Clean Sheet 20%
Shamal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Sadd Shamal
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 1 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Emir Cup
Shamal vs Al-Sadd
4:6
Apr 27, 2026 QSL
Al-Sadd vs Shamal
3:2
Dec 29, 2025 QSL
Shamal vs Al-Sadd
0:3
Jan 12, 2025 QSL
Al-Sadd vs Shamal
1:0
Aug 10, 2024 QSL
Shamal vs Al-Sadd
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Sadd Compare

Top Goalscorer Afif A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roberto Firmino
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Shamal Compare

Top Goalscorer Bounedjah B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Sadd 76 / 100
Shamal 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Sadd Shamal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al-Sadd scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Shamal let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Al-Sadd stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Sadd VS Shamal
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Sadd

(Home)
30 Jul
Trabzonspor
0 : 1
Al-Sadd
17 Jul
Sigma Olomouc
2 : 1
Al-Sadd
09 May
Al-Gharafa
4 : 1
Al-Sadd
05 May
Al-Duhail
1 : 4
Al-Sadd
01 May
Shamal
4 : 6
Al-Sadd
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Shamal

(Away)
01 May
Shamal
4 : 6
Al-Sadd
27 Apr
Al-Sadd
3 : 2
Shamal
13 Apr
Shamal
3 : 0
Qatar SC
08 Apr
Al-Shahaniya
2 : 0
Shamal
04 Apr
Shamal
3 : 2
Umm-Salal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Sadd22143556:3045
2Shamal22124639:2840
3Al Rayyan22115646:3238
4Al-Gharafa22113836:3636
5Al-Duhail2296740:2733
6Al Arabi (Qatar)2295837:4132
7Al Wakra2286836:3430
8Qatar SC2285932:3629
9Al Ahli22821234:4326
10Al Sailiya22641225:3822
11Al-Shahaniya22631322:3921
12Umm-Salal22621437:5620
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 (Main)