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Al Sahel vs Al Ahli Nabatiya

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Kadiri S.
26' Event
Kasab M.
50' Event
Kadiri S.

AI Match Summary

Al Sahel in this Premier League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Sahel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Sahel
6%
Draws
4%
Al Ahli Nabatiya
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Sahel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Ahli Nabatiya haven't matched Al Sahel's recent run of results.
  • Al Sahel are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Al Sahel Clean Sheet 68%
Al Ahli Nabatiya Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sahel Al Ahli Nabatiya
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2024 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Ahli Nabatiya
5:0
Mar 30, 2024 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Ahli Nabatiya
0:1
Mar 8, 2024 Premier League
Al Ahli Nabatiya vs Al Sahel
0:0
Dec 10, 2023 Premier League
Al Ahli Nabatiya vs Al Sahel
0:0
Jul 6, 2023 Federation Cup
Al Ahli Nabatiya vs Al Sahel
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Sahel Compare

Top Goalscorer Kadiri S.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Kasab M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Al Ahli Nabatiya Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sahel 95 / 100
Al Ahli Nabatiya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sahel Al Ahli Nabatiya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sahel scored in 64% of their last 36 games.

Al Ahli Nabatiya let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Al Sahel stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Al Ahli Nabatiya has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Sahel VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%