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Al Sahel vs Al Ahli Nabatiya

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Jouni S.

AI Match Summary

Al Ahli Nabatiya in this Premier League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ahli Nabatiya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Sahel
6%
Draws
4%
Al Ahli Nabatiya
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Sahel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Sahel have won more games recently than Al Ahli Nabatiya.
  • Model gives Al Sahel a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Al Sahel Clean Sheet 68%
Al Ahli Nabatiya Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sahel Al Ahli Nabatiya
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 12 11
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2024 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Ahli Nabatiya
5:0
Mar 30, 2024 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Ahli Nabatiya
0:1
Mar 8, 2024 Premier League
Al Ahli Nabatiya vs Al Sahel
0:0
Dec 10, 2023 Premier League
Al Ahli Nabatiya vs Al Sahel
0:0
Jul 6, 2023 Federation Cup
Al Ahli Nabatiya vs Al Sahel
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Sahel Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Al Ahli Nabatiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Jouni S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sahel 95 / 100
Al Ahli Nabatiya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sahel Al Ahli Nabatiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sahel's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 41 recent games.

Al Ahli Nabatiya has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Al Sahel stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Al Ahli Nabatiya has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Sahel VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Sahel

(Home)
02 Jul
Jwayya SC
0 : 0
Al Sahel
28 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 2
Al Sahel
24 Jun
Al Sahel
3 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
16 Jun
Al Sahel
2 : 0
Racing
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
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Al Ahli Nabatiya

(Away)
23 May
Al Ahli Nabatiya
0 : 1
Al Hikma
17 May
Al Ahli Nabatiya
0 : 3
Al Ghazieh
09 May
Al Sahel
5 : 0
Al Ahli Nabatiya
05 May
Al Ahli Nabatiya
3 : 1
Tripoli SC
28 Apr
Tadamon
0 : 0
Al Ahli Nabatiya
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