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Al Sahel vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Awada H.
25' Event
Farran Z.
76' Event
Lomba C.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Al Sahel in this Premier League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Sahel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Al Sahel
44%
Draws
20%
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley haven't matched Al Sahel's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Al Sahel Clean Sheet 24%
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sahel Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
Matches Played 43 30
Wins 20 9
Draws 10 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2022 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
3:1
Sep 12, 2021 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
1:1
Mar 19, 2021 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
1:0
Oct 17, 2020 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Al Sahel
1:1
Dec 15, 2019 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Al Sahel
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Sahel Compare

Top Goalscorer Awada H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Farran Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sahel 37 / 100
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sahel Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sahel's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 43 recent games.

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Al Sahel remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Sahel VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ansar1183028:727
2Al Sahel1174017:525
3Al Ahed1173120:824
4Nejmeh SC1172218:723
5Bourj1172217:1123
6Al Ghazieh1133512:1612
7Safa112458:1510
8Tadamon1124511:1510
9Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley1121810:257
10Salam Zgharta111467:157
11Al Hikma112189:157
12Tripoli SC110564:225