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Al Sahel vs Al Ansar

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Sherkawi A.
64' Event
Salami H.
Assist: Haidar M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Sahel and Al Ansar finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Al Sahel
30%
Draws
43%
Al Ansar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ansar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Al Ansar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al Ansar are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Al Sahel Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ansar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sahel Al Ansar
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 20
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.37 2.28
Goals Conceded 1 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.26 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Sahel
3:0
Dec 2, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Ansar
1:1
Feb 6, 2025 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Sahel
3:1
Aug 20, 2023 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Ansar
1:1
Feb 26, 2023 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Ansar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Sahel Compare

Top Goalscorer Salami H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.97
Avg xA / game 0.63

Al Ansar Compare

Top Goalscorer Sherkawi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sahel 18 / 100
Al Ansar 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sahel Al Ansar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ansar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sahel found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Al Sahel stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Al Ansar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Sahel VS Al Ansar
1.4 Goals Scored 3
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
60% Over 1.5 100%
40% Over 2.5 100%
20% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Sahel

(Home)
02 Jul
Jwayya SC
0 : 0
Al Sahel
28 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 2
Al Sahel
24 Jun
Al Sahel
3 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
16 Jun
Al Sahel
2 : 0
Racing
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
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Al Ansar

(Away)
04 Sept
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Al Nahda Ber Al Yaas
02 Aug
Nejmeh SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
28 Jul
Jwayya SC
1 : 2
Al Ansar
24 Jul
Al Ahed
1 : 1
Al Ansar
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)