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Al Sahel vs Al Ansar

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Sherkawi A.
64' Event
Salami H.
Assist: Haidar M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Sahel and Al Ansar finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Al Sahel
6%
Draws
90%
Al Ansar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Ansar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Ansar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Al Ansar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Al Sahel Clean Sheet 13%
Al Ansar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sahel Al Ansar
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 12 23
Draws 9 4
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.14 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.14 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.43 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Sahel
3:0
Dec 2, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Ansar
1:1
Feb 6, 2025 Premier League
Al Ansar vs Al Sahel
3:1
Aug 20, 2023 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Ansar
1:1
Feb 26, 2023 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Ansar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Sahel Compare

Top Goalscorer Salami H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Al Ansar Compare

Top Goalscorer Sherkawi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sahel 10 / 100
Al Ansar 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sahel Al Ansar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ANS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sahel found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Al Sahel stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Al Ansar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Sahel VS Al Ansar
1.14 Goals Scored 1.88
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.38
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 88%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Sahel

(Home)
02 Jul
Jwayya SC
0 : 0
Al Sahel
28 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 2
Al Sahel
24 Jun
Al Sahel
3 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
16 Jun
Al Sahel
2 : 0
Racing
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
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Al Ansar

(Away)
20 Jul
Al Ansar
1 : 1
Nejmeh SC
16 Jul
Al Ansar
2 : 0
Jwayya SC
12 Jul
Al Ansar
3 : 3
Al Ahed
03 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 3
Al Ansar
29 Jun
Al-Mabarrah
0 : 7
Al Ansar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ansar21172253:953
2Nejmeh SC21144342:1046
3Al Ahed21131734:2240
4Jwayya SC21115531:1438
5Safa21113730:1736
6Al Hikma2193929:2730
7Al Sahel2176822:2127
8Al-Mabarrah2157912:3622
9Al Riyadi Abbasiyah21551116:3020
10Tadamon21381012:2617
11Racing2101204:611
12Bourj113178:2010
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)