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Al Sahel vs Al Ghazieh

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Kadiri S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Al Sahel in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Sahel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Al Sahel
28%
Draws
22%
Al Ghazieh
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Al Sahel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Al Sahel have won more games recently than Al Ghazieh.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Al Sahel taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Sahel have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Al Sahel Clean Sheet 68%
Al Ghazieh Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sahel Al Ghazieh
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2025 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Al Sahel
0:3
Jun 2, 2025 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Al Sahel
1:1
Apr 30, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Ghazieh
4:0
Mar 3, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Al Ghazieh
1:0
Apr 27, 2024 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Al Sahel
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sahel 59 / 100
Al Ghazieh 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sahel Al Ghazieh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ghazieh has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Al Sahel found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (35 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Al Sahel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Sahel VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ansar11101031:731
2Safa1192030:429
3Al Ahed1191134:1128
4Nejmeh SC1152412:817
5Al Hikma1144312:1116
6Tadamon1142513:1414
7Al Sahel1141614:2113
8Racing111644:149
9Al Riyadi Abbasiyah111557:158
10Bourj112187:217
11Al Ghazieh111375:186
12Shabab Baalbeck111284:295