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Al Sailiya vs Al Gharafa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
Fri, Nov 27, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Sailiya host Al Gharafa in the QSL. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Al Sailiya have averaged 1 scored and 2.28 conceded recently, against Al Gharafa's 1.34 scored and 1.88 conceded. Past meetings favor Al Sailiya slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 5, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 2.13) point toward Al Gharafa. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Al Sailiya
35%
Draws
46%
Al Gharafa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Gharafa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Gharafa have won more games recently than Al Sailiya.
  • Model gives Al Gharafa a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Al Sailiya Clean Sheet 10%
Al Gharafa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sailiya Al Gharafa
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 6 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 QSL
Al Sailiya vs Al Gharafa
1:0
Oct 17, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Gharafa vs Al Sailiya
0:3
Sep 12, 2025 QSL
Al Gharafa vs Al Sailiya
2:0
Mar 3, 2024 QFA Cup
Al Sailiya vs Al Gharafa
3:1
Jan 29, 2023 QSL
Al Sailiya vs Al Gharafa
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sailiya 10 / 100
Al Gharafa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sailiya Al Gharafa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Gharafa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Gharafa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Al Sailiya found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Al Sailiya went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Sailiya VS Al Gharafa
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Sailiya

(Home)
31 Oct
Al Sailiya
1 : 2
Lusail
23 Oct
Al Sailiya
1 : 6
Al Rayyan
17 Oct
Al Sailiya
2 : 2
Qatar SC
10 Oct
Al Ahli
5 : 0
Al Sailiya
28 Sept
Al Sailiya
1 : 1
Al Rayyan
Page 1 of 6

Al Gharafa

(Away)
30 Oct
Al Gharafa
2 : 0
Qatar SC
26 Oct
Al Ahli SC
2 : 1
Al Gharafa
22 Oct
Al Gharafa
2 : 2
Al Ahli
18 Oct
Al Gharafa
0 : 0
Al Rayyan
12 Oct
Al Gharafa
1 : 2
Esteghlal TEH
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Sadd 8 6 0 2 31:14 18
2 Al Rayyan 8 5 3 0 16:3 18
3 Al Duhail 8 5 3 0 18:7 18
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 8 3 4 1 16:8 13
5 Al Ahli 8 3 2 3 14:15 11
6 Al Wakra 8 3 2 3 14:16 11
7 Lusail 8 2 3 3 10:9 9
8 Al Gharafa 8 2 3 3 10:13 9
9 Shamal 8 2 3 3 13:17 9
10 Al Shahaniya 8 2 1 5 9:21 7
11 Qatar SC 8 1 3 4 9:18 6
12 Al Sailiya 8 0 1 7 9:28 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)