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Al Sailiya vs Al Sadd

Qatar Qatar

QSL Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Afif A.
Assist: Roberto Firmino
35' Event
Olwan A.
Assist: Mahmoud A.
39'
El Ghazi A.

AI Match Summary

The QSL game between Al Sailiya and Al Sadd finished 3-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Sadd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Al Sailiya
15%
Draws
78%
Al Sadd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Sadd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Sadd come out ahead of Al Sailiya on wins alone.
  • Al Sadd are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular QSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Sadd have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Al Sailiya Clean Sheet 10%
Al Sadd Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sailiya Al Sadd
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 21
Draws 4 2
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.14 2.61
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 QSL
Al Sailiya vs Al Sadd
3:6
Apr 8, 2026 QSL
Al Sailiya vs Al Sadd
1:3
Nov 22, 2025 QSL
Al Sadd vs Al Sailiya
3:1
Sep 4, 2023 QFA Cup
Al Sailiya vs Al Sadd
7:0
Mar 3, 2023 QSL
Al Sadd vs Al Sailiya
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Sailiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Olwan A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Moein Doozandeh A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Al Sadd Compare

Top Goalscorer Afif A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ali H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sailiya 10 / 100
Al Sadd 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sailiya Al Sadd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Sadd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sadd let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 5.60 goals.

Al Sailiya found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Al Sailiya has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Sailiya VS Al Sadd
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Sailiya

(Home)
28 Sept
Al Sailiya
1 : 1
Al Rayyan
20 Sept
Al Wakra
1 : 0
Al Sailiya
10 Sept
Al Sailiya
3 : 6
Al Sadd
03 Sept
Al Sailiya
0 : 2
Al Arabi (Qatar)
29 Aug
Al Shahaniya
3 : 2
Al Sailiya
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Al Sadd

(Away)
14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0
Al Sadd
10 Sept
Al Sailiya
3 : 6
Al Sadd
05 Sept
Al Sadd
4 : 1
Al Gharafa
01 Sept
Al Sadd
2 : 1
Al Gharafa
28 Aug
Qatar SC
2 : 6
Al Sadd
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Sadd 4 4 0 0 19:7 12
2 Al Rayyan 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 Shamal 4 2 2 0 10:6 8
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
5 Al Duhail 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
6 Lusail 4 1 2 1 7:4 5
7 Al Shahaniya 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
8 Al Ahli 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
9 Al Gharafa 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
10 Qatar SC 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
11 Al Wakra 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
12 Al Sailiya 4 0 0 4 5:13 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)