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Al-Samail vs Al Nahda

Oman Oman

Professional League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Al Rawahi M.

AI Match Summary

Al Nahda in this Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Nahda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Al-Samail
30%
Draws
51%
Al Nahda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Nahda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Samail haven't matched Al Nahda's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Al Nahda a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Professional League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Al-Samail Clean Sheet 23%
Al Nahda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Samail Al Nahda
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 7 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.83 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Professional League
Al-Samail vs Al Nahda
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 Professional League
Al Nahda vs Al-Samail
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Samail Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al Nahda Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Rawahi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Samail 10 / 100
Al Nahda 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Samail Al Nahda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Nahda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al-Samail scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Al Nahda has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Al-Samail remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Samail VS Al Nahda
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Samail

(Home)
10 Sept
Al-Samail
0 : 0
Fanja SC
05 Sept
Ibri
4 : 0
Al-Samail
31 Aug
Al-Samail
1 : 0
Saham
25 Aug
Al-Samail
0 : 2
Oman Club
23 May
Al-Samail
0 : 1
Bahla
Page 1 of 6

Al Nahda

(Away)
10 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Seeb
05 Sept
Al-Shabab
2 : 3
Al Nahda
30 Aug
Al Nahda
1 : 0
Al-Msnaa
24 Aug
Al-Shabab
1 : 1
Al Nahda
19 Aug
Al Nahda
3 : 1
Al-Msnaa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Seeb 26 21 4 1 59:14 67
2 Al-Shabab 26 17 3 6 51:27 54
3 Al Nasr 26 16 5 5 35:20 53
4 Al Nahda 26 13 5 8 31:23 44
5 Bahla 26 12 4 10 39:32 40
6 Oman Club 26 11 6 9 27:28 39
7 Sohar 26 10 8 8 35:28 38
8 Sur Club 26 8 8 10 34:37 32
9 Dhofar 26 7 6 13 23:30 27
10 Al-Samail 26 6 8 12 25:39 26
11 Saham 26 7 5 14 22:44 26
12 Ibri 26 7 2 17 27:52 23
13 Al Khaboora 26 4 10 12 23:35 22
14 Al-Rustaq 26 3 6 17 24:46 15
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