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Al Saqer vs Al-Kawkab

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2025/2026 game between Al Saqer and Al-Kawkab finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Saqer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Al Saqer
35%
Draws
28%
Al-Kawkab
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Saqer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Al Saqer carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Al Saqer a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Al Saqer Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Kawkab Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Saqer Al-Kawkab
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.66 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.62 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Division 2
Al-Kawkab vs Al Saqer
0:3
Dec 16, 2025 Division 2
Al Saqer vs Al-Kawkab
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Saqer 40 / 100
Al-Kawkab 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Saqer Al-Kawkab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Saqer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Saqer scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Al-Kawkab has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Al Saqer went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Saqer VS Al-Kawkab
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.86
63% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Saqer

(Home)
13 Sept
Al Saqer
0 : 1
Al Anwar
07 Sept
Al Adalah
1 : 1
Al Saqer
31 Aug
Al Saqer
0 : 0
Al Okhdood
27 Aug
Al Jandal
1 : 1
Al Saqer
23 Aug
Al Saqer
0 : 0
Damac
Page 1 of 6

Al-Kawkab

(Away)
09 Apr
Al Safa
2 : 2
Al-Kawkab
04 Apr
Al-Kawkab
1 : 1
Al Nairea
27 Mar
Al-Kawkab
0 : 3
Al Saqer
15 Mar
Mudhar Club
1 : 0
Al-Kawkab
06 Mar
Al-Kawkab
2 : 2
Al Qous
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Jeel 30 18 4 8 48:35 58
2 Al Ain 30 15 10 5 50:34 55
3 Al-Sahel 30 15 8 7 48:29 53
4 Al-Washm 30 13 9 8 50:34 48
5 Najran 30 13 7 10 44:38 46
6 Jerash 30 13 7 10 52:46 46
7 Al Entesar 30 10 12 8 38:36 42
8 Al Najoom 30 6 21 3 36:31 39
9 Jubbah 30 9 11 10 40:36 38
10 Afief 30 9 9 12 35:36 36
11 Al Rawdhah 30 9 8 13 31:43 35
12 Al-Shoalah 30 8 11 11 44:48 35
13 Al Taraji 30 8 10 12 42:57 34
14 Al-Sharq 30 6 15 9 32:36 33
15 Tuwaiq 30 6 10 14 36:51 28
16 Al-Sadd 30 2 8 20 29:65 14
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Saqer 30 21 6 3 59:19 69
2 Hajer 30 20 6 4 47:20 66
3 Al Loa 30 19 8 3 67:32 65
4 Mudhar Club 30 13 10 7 37:26 49
5 Al Rayan 30 14 7 9 50:41 49
6 Al Nairea 30 13 9 8 50:37 48
7 Hottain 30 13 6 11 39:37 45
8 Al Safa 30 12 5 13 32:44 41
9 Al Qalah 30 11 7 12 32:32 40
10 Al-Kawkab 30 11 7 12 33:39 40
11 Al Gottah 30 9 10 11 43:41 37
12 Wej Sports Club 30 8 11 11 42:35 35
13 Al Qous 30 8 9 13 36:41 33
14 Arar 30 8 3 19 38:62 27
15 Bisha 30 2 7 21 21:58 10
16 Ohod 30 1 3 26 16:78 6
Promotion - Division 1 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)