Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Saqr vs Al Ahli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Yemen Yemen

Division 1 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Ahli in this Division 1 2021 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Al Saqr
30%
Draws
52%
Al Ahli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Saqr haven't matched Al Ahli's recent run of results.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Al Ahli taking it.
  • Al Ahli arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Ahli, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
Al Saqr Clean Sheet 20%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Saqr Al Ahli
Matches Played 15 38
Wins 6 21
Draws 2 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.27 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2023 Division 1
Al Saqr vs Al Ahli
0:0
Sep 21, 2023 Division 1
Al Saqr vs Al Ahli
0:0
Nov 16, 2021 Division 1
Al Saqr vs Al Ahli
0:1
Oct 20, 2021 Division 1
Al Ahli vs Al Saqr
2:1
Sep 25, 2021 Division 1
Al Saqr vs Al Ahli
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Saqr 24 / 100
Al Ahli 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Saqr Al Ahli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Saqr found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (15 games).

Al Ahli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 34% of 38 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Al Saqr remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al Ahli
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Saqr

(Home)
16 Nov
Al Saqr
0 : 1
Al Ahli
12 Nov
Al Wahda
4 : 0
Al Saqr
30 Oct
Al Saqr
2 : 1
Al Yarmuk
25 Oct
Al Saqr
1 : 2
Al Helal Al Sahely
20 Oct
Al Ahli
2 : 1
Al Saqr
Page 1 of 3

Al Ahli

(Away)
20 Aug
Al Baydaa
0 : 2
Al Ahli
12 Aug
Al Ahli
4 : 0
Al Ittihad
06 Aug
Al Ahli
0 : 0
Al Shabab Hadramaut
24 Jul
Ittihad Hadramout
0 : 0
Al Ahli
16 Jul
Al Yarmuk
1 : 1
Al Ahli
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Al Wahda 4
Al Saqr 0
Al Ahli 1
Fhman 2
Final
Al Wahda 0
Fhman 1
Al Saqr 0
Al Ahli 1