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Al Sareeh vs Al Ahli

Jordan Jordan

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Al Eikish M.
82' Event
Saada H. A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al Sareeh
35%
Draws
35%
Al Ahli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ahli lately — more wins on the board than Al Sareeh.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Al Sareeh Clean Sheet 68%
Al Ahli Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Sareeh Al Ahli
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 10
Draws 12 14
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2025 Jordan Cup
Al Ahli vs Al Sareeh
1:0
May 2, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahli vs Al Sareeh
3:3
Dec 5, 2024 Premier League
Al Sareeh vs Al Ahli
1:1
Oct 11, 2024 Shield Cup
Al Ahli vs Al Sareeh
1:1
Dec 25, 2020 Premier League
Al Sareeh vs Al Ahli
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Sareeh Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Eikish M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Al Ahli Compare

Top Goalscorer Saada H. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Sareeh 41 / 100
Al Ahli 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Sareeh Al Ahli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Sareeh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sareeh scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Al Ahli has conceded goals in 74% of their last 34 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Al Sareeh stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Sareeh VS Al Ahli
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Sareeh

(Home)
07 Nov
Al Ahli
1 : 0
Al Sareeh
19 Oct
Al Sareeh
1 : 0
Doqarah
02 May
Al Ahli
3 : 3
Al Sareeh
25 Apr
Al Sareeh
0 : 0
Al Faisaly Amman
19 Apr
Al Salt
0 : 0
Al Sareeh
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Al Ahli

(Away)
08 May
Al Wehdat
2 : 0
Al Ahli
04 May
Al Ahli
2 : 1
Al Buqaa
24 Apr
Al Ahli
2 : 2
Al Faisaly Amman
14 Apr
Sama Al Sarhan
2 : 3
Al Ahli
08 Apr
Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Hussein
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hussein 22 16 5 1 53:15 53
2 Al Wehdat 22 16 4 2 47:18 52
3 Al Faisaly Amman 22 9 12 1 30:16 39
4 Al Ramtha 22 9 6 7 26:23 33
5 Al Salt 22 9 5 8 24:21 32
6 Al Jazeera Amman 22 8 6 8 33:29 30
7 Al Ahli 22 7 5 10 24:32 26
8 Shabab Al Ordon 22 7 4 11 28:33 25
9 Al Sareeh 22 4 9 9 26:33 21
10 Aqaba 22 5 5 12 23:47 20
11 Maan 22 5 3 14 20:39 18
12 Moghayer Al Sarhan 22 3 4 15 16:44 13
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Qualification)