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Al Shabab vs Al Ahli SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Al-Shabab Club Stadium, Riyadh
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Shabab host Al Ahli SC in the Saudi Professional League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Al Shabab at 1.61 goals for, 1.68 against; Al Ahli SC at 1.97 for, 1.29 against. Head-to-head, Al Shabab have won 1 to Al Ahli SC's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 13, 2026, ending 2:5. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.38) point toward Al Ahli SC. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Al Shabab
30%
Draws
47%
Al Ahli SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ahli SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Ahli SC have won more games recently than Al Shabab.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Al Ahli SC taking it.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 17%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shabab Al Ahli SC
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 9 18
Draws 9 4
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.61 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Ahli SC
2:5
Oct 17, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Shabab
1:1
May 11, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Ahli SC
3:1
Jan 10, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Shabab
3:2
May 11, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Ahli SC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shabab 23 / 100
Al Ahli SC 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shabab Al Ahli SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahli SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shabab's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Al Ahli SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Al Shabab went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Shabab VS Al Ahli SC
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
71% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shabab

(Home)
19 Oct
Al Shabab
2 : 2
Al Faisaly
11 Oct
Al Shabab
3 : 0
Al Taawon
12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0
Al Fayha
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1
Al Shabab
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2
Al Hilal
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Al Ahli SC

(Away)
19 Oct
Al Fayha
2 : 3
Al Ahli SC
12 Oct
Al Wasl
1 : 3
Al Ahli SC
09 Oct
Al Fateh
0 : 4
Al Ahli SC
19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1
Al Ahli SC
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qadsiah 10 8 1 1 24:9 25
2 Al Hilal 9 8 0 1 27:7 24
3 Al Nassr 9 7 1 1 20:7 22
4 Al Ittihad 9 6 2 1 18:10 20
5 Al Ahli SC 9 6 0 3 23:12 18
6 Neom SC 10 5 1 4 14:9 16
7 Al Diriyah 10 4 3 3 9:9 15
8 Al Ettifaq FC 10 4 3 3 14:16 15
9 Al Kholood 9 3 3 3 14:18 12
10 Al Khaleej 10 2 6 2 9:13 12
11 Al Hazem Rass 10 2 3 5 10:14 9
12 Al Riyadh 9 2 3 4 9:18 9
13 Al Shabab 9 1 5 3 11:13 8
14 Al Faisaly 9 1 4 4 10:17 7
15 Al Fayha 10 1 4 5 10:17 7
16 Al Fateh 10 1 3 6 9:20 6
17 Al Taawon 10 0 4 6 4:17 4
18 Abha 8 0 2 6 6:15 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)