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Al Shabab vs Al Faisaly - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Al-Shabab Club Stadium, Riyadh
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Shabab host Al Faisaly in the Saudi Professional League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Al Faisaly have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while Al Shabab have conceded 1.55 and scored 1.62. Head-to-head, Al Shabab have won 2 to Al Faisaly's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 12, 2022, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.25) point toward Al Faisaly. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Al Shabab
35%
Draws
24%
Al Faisaly
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Shabab

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Al Faisaly carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Al Shabab's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 19%
Al Faisaly Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shabab Al Faisaly
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 9 5
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.62 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2022 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Faisaly
1:0
Nov 20, 2021 Saudi Professional League
Al Faisaly vs Al Shabab
0:0
May 23, 2021 Saudi Professional League
Al Faisaly vs Al Shabab
1:5
Jan 19, 2021 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Faisaly
1:1
Feb 7, 2020 Saudi Professional League
Al Faisaly vs Al Shabab
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shabab 58 / 100
Al Faisaly 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shabab Al Faisaly

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shabab Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Shabab scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Al Faisaly let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Al Shabab stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Shabab VS Al Faisaly
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shabab

(Home)
11 Oct
Al Shabab
3 : 0
Al Taawon
12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0
Al Fayha
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1
Al Shabab
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2
Al Hilal
30 Aug
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1
Al Shabab
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Al Faisaly

(Away)
11 Sept
Al Faisaly
1 : 3
Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 0
Al Faisaly
05 Sept
Al Faisaly
0 : 0
Al Hazem Rass
30 Aug
Al Qadsiah
3 : 1
Al Faisaly
26 Aug
Al Faisaly
1 : 1
Al Fateh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 8 7 0 1 26:7 21
2 Al Qadsiah 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 Al Nassr 8 6 1 1 19:7 19
4 Al Ittihad 8 5 2 1 14:9 17
5 Neom SC 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
6 Al Ahli SC 8 5 0 3 20:10 15
7 Al Ettifaq FC 8 3 3 2 12:12 12
8 Al Kholood 8 3 3 2 12:15 12
9 Al Diriyah 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Al Riyadh 8 2 3 3 9:17 9
12 Al Shabab 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
13 Al Fayha 8 1 4 3 8:12 7
14 Al Khaleej 8 0 6 2 4:11 6
15 Al Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
16 Al Fateh 8 0 3 5 4:15 3
17 Al Taawon 8 0 3 5 3:15 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)