Sport Picks
Al Shabab vs Al Qadsiah - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Professional League Al-Shabab Club Stadium, Riyadh 
Match Events
2'
2'
Barry M. T.
15'
15'
Al Hammami H.
Assist: Brownhill J.
36'
36'
Abu Al Shamat M.
Assist: Fernandez N.
AI Match Summary
Al Qadsiah in this Saudi Professional League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Qadsiah.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Qadsiah
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Al Qadsiah have won more games recently than Al Shabab.
- Win probability leans Al Qadsiah's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 10%
Al Qadsiah Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Shabab | Al Qadsiah |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 19 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 2.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 13, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Qadsiah
1:3
Apr 14, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Shabab
2:2
Dec 31, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Qadsiah
2:3
Feb 13, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Qadsiah
2:3
Sep 15, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Shabab
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Shabab Compare
Top Goalscorer Al Hammami H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Al Qadsiah Compare
Top Goalscorer Abu Al Shamat M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Quinones J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Shabab 18 / 100
Al Qadsiah 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Shabab Al Qadsiah
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Qadsiah Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Shabab's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Al Qadsiah conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
Al Shabab has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Al Shabab VS Al Qadsiah
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Shabab
(Home) 19 Oct
Al Shabab
2 : 2 Al Faisaly
11 Oct
Al Shabab
3 : 0 Al Taawon
12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0 Al Fayha
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1 Al Shabab
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2 Al Hilal
Page 1 of 6
19 Oct
Al Shabab
2 : 2 Al Faisaly
11 Oct
Al Shabab
3 : 0 Al Taawon
12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0 Al Fayha
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2 Al Hilal
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3 Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 4
Al Qadsiah
(Away) 20 Oct
Al Taawon
0 : 1 Al Qadsiah
16 Oct
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1 Abha
12 Oct
Pakhtakor
1 : 1 Al Qadsiah
09 Oct
Al Kholood
0 : 5 Al Qadsiah
14 Sept
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1 Al Wasl
Page 1 of 6
20 Oct
Al Taawon
0 : 1 Al Qadsiah
12 Oct
Pakhtakor
1 : 1 Al Qadsiah
09 Oct
Al Kholood
0 : 5 Al Qadsiah
03 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 2 Al Qadsiah
24 Aug
Neom SC
0 : 2 Al Qadsiah
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Qadsiah | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 24:9 | 25 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 27:7 | 24 |
| 3 | Al Nassr | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20:7 | 22 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 5 | Al Ahli SC | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23:12 | 18 |
| 6 | Neom SC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:9 | 16 |
| 7 | Al Diriyah | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 15 |
| 8 | Al Ettifaq FC | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | 15 |
| 9 | Al Kholood | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:18 | 12 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 9:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Al Hazem Rass | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | 9 |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11:13 | 8 |
| 14 | Al Faisaly | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:17 | 7 |
| 15 | Al Fayha | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:17 | 7 |
| 16 | Al Fateh | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Al Taawon | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4:17 | 4 |
| 18 | Abha | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:15 | 2 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
