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Al Shabab vs Al Qadsiah

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Al-Shabab Club Stadium, Riyadh
Thu, Aug 13, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Shabab host Al Qadsiah in the Saudi Professional League. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Al Qadsiah have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Al Shabab have conceded 2.5 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Al Shabab have won 1 to Al Qadsiah's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 14, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 2.44) point toward Al Qadsiah. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Al Shabab
17%
Draws
70%
Al Qadsiah
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Al Qadsiah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Qadsiah have won more games recently than Al Shabab.
  • Win probability leans Al Qadsiah's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 10%
Al Qadsiah Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shabab Al Qadsiah
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 10 20
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.5 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Shabab
2:2
Dec 31, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Qadsiah
2:3
Feb 13, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Qadsiah
2:3
Sep 15, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Shabab
0:1
Mar 5, 2021 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Qadsiah
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shabab 14 / 100
Al Qadsiah 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shabab Al Qadsiah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Al Shabab's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Al Qadsiah conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Al Shabab has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Shabab VS Al Qadsiah
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shabab

(Home)
26 Jul
Al Shabab
1 : 0
Al Nasr
20 May
Al Najma
1 : 0
Al Shabab
17 May
Al Shabab
3 : 2
Al Ittihad
11 May
Neom SC
2 : 1
Al Shabab
07 May
Al Shabab
2 : 4
Al Nassr
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Al Qadsiah

(Away)
26 Jul
Levante
1 : 0
Al Qadsiah
15 Jul
Real Oviedo
0 : 0
Al Qadsiah
21 May
Al Ittihad
1 : 5
Al Qadsiah
14 May
Al Qadsiah
2 : 0
Al Hazem Rass
09 May
Al Fayha
1 : 2
Al Qadsiah
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Hilal00000:00
2Al Ettifaq FC00000:00
3Al Ittihad00000:00
4Al Shabab00000:00
5Abha00000:00
6Al Ahli SC00000:00
7Al Hazem Rass00000:00
8Al Nassr00000:00
9Al Fateh00000:00
10Al Qadsiah00000:00
11Al Taawon00000:00
12Al-Faisaly00000:00
13Al Khaleej00000:00
14Al Riyadh00000:00
15Neom SC00000:00
16Al Diriyah00000:00
17Al Fayha00000:00
18Al Kholood00000:00
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)