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Al Shabab vs Al Rayyan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Gulf Club Champions League Al-Shabab Club Stadium, Riyadh
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Match Events

5' Event
Wesley
11'
Hamdallah A.
34'
Carrasco Y.

AI Match Summary

The Gulf Club Champions League game between Al Shabab and Al Rayyan finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Al Shabab
35%
Draws
49%
Al Rayyan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Rayyan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Shabab haven't matched Al Rayyan's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Al Rayyan taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Gulf Club Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 10%
Al Rayyan Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shabab Al Rayyan
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 9 22
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.96 2.32
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Gulf Club Champions League
Al Shabab vs Al Rayyan
0:3
Dec 23, 2025 Gulf Club Champions League
Al Shabab vs Al Rayyan
2:2
Nov 5, 2025 Gulf Club Champions League
Al Rayyan vs Al Shabab
1:1
Apr 2, 2014 AFC Champions League
Al Rayyan vs Al Shabab
0:2
Mar 18, 2014 AFC Champions League
Al Shabab vs Al Rayyan
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Shabab Compare

Top Goalscorer Matuq A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hamdallah A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Al Rayyan Compare

Top Goalscorer Wesley
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shabab 18 / 100
Al Rayyan 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shabab Al Rayyan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Rayyan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shabab's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Al Rayyan conceded in 71% of 34 recent games.

Solid form: Al Shabab remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Shabab VS Al Rayyan
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shabab

(Home)
12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0
Al Fayha
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1
Al Shabab
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2
Al Hilal
30 Aug
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1
Al Shabab
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3
Al Riyadh
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Al Rayyan

(Away)
28 Sept
Al Sailiya
1 : 1
Al Rayyan
20 Sept
Al Rayyan
2 : 2
Qatar SC
16 Sept
Al Rayyan
4 : 3
Al Faisaly Amman
11 Sept
Al Rayyan
3 : 0
Al Ahli
05 Sept
Al Rayyan
1 : 1
Al Duhail
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakho 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
2 Al Qadisiya 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
3 Al Ain 6 3 0 3 6:5 9
4 Sitra 6 0 2 4 4:10 2
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 6 3 3 0 15:5 12
2 Al Shabab 6 1 4 1 18:7 7
3 Al Nahda 6 1 4 1 6:7 7
4 Tadamone Hadramout 6 1 1 4 3:23 4
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)