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Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Al-Shabab Club Stadium, Riyadh
Al Shabab Logo

Al Shabab

3 - 3
FT
Al Riyadh Logo

Al Riyadh

Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Trezeguet
Assist: Antunes L.
36' Event
Brownhill J.
41' Event
Antunes L.
Assist: Abascal R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Saudi Professional League matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Al Shabab
35%
Draws
40%
Al Riyadh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Riyadh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Al Riyadh haven't matched Al Shabab's recent run of results.
  • Al Shabab are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 18%
Al Riyadh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shabab Al Riyadh
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.68 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh
3:3
Apr 5, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab
1:1
Feb 23, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh
3:1
May 15, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Shabab
1:3
Jan 15, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Shabab Compare

Top Goalscorer Brownhill J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carrasco Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Al Riyadh Compare

Top Goalscorer Trezeguet
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antunes L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shabab 49 / 100
Al Riyadh 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shabab Al Riyadh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shabab Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shabab's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Al Riyadh has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Al Shabab has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Shabab VS Al Riyadh
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shabab

(Home)
11 Oct
Al Shabab
3 : 0
Al Taawon
12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0
Al Fayha
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1
Al Shabab
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2
Al Hilal
30 Aug
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1
Al Shabab
Page 1 of 6

Al Riyadh

(Away)
11 Oct
Al Fayha
1 : 1
Al Riyadh
13 Sept
Al Riyadh
2 : 0
Al Kholood
07 Sept
Al Khaleej
0 : 0
Al Riyadh
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0
Al Riyadh
28 Aug
Al Riyadh
1 : 0
Neom SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qadsiah 9 7 1 1 23:9 22
2 Al Hilal 8 7 0 1 26:7 21
3 Al Nassr 8 6 1 1 19:7 19
4 Al Ittihad 8 5 2 1 14:9 17
5 Neom SC 9 5 1 3 14:8 16
6 Al Ahli SC 8 5 0 3 20:10 15
7 Al Ettifaq FC 9 4 3 2 13:12 15
8 Al Diriyah 9 3 3 3 8:9 12
9 Al Kholood 9 3 3 3 14:18 12
10 Al Khaleej 10 2 6 2 9:13 12
11 Al Hazem Rass 9 2 3 4 10:13 9
12 Al Riyadh 8 2 3 3 9:17 9
13 Al Shabab 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
14 Al Fayha 9 1 4 4 8:14 7
15 Al Faisaly 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
16 Al Fateh 10 1 3 6 9:20 6
17 Al Taawon 9 0 4 5 4:16 4
18 Abha 8 0 2 6 6:15 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)