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Al Shabab vs Zakho

Asia Asia

Gulf Club Champions League Al-Shabab Club Stadium, Riyadh
Tue, Mar 3, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Zakho have shipped 1.54 goals a game lately, while Al Shabab have conceded 1.73 and scored 1.87. Head-to-head, Al Shabab have won 1 to Zakho's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.13, favoring Al Shabab. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Al Shabab
35%
Draws
41%
Zakho
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zakho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Zakho haven't matched Al Shabab's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Al Shabab have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Al Shabab Clean Sheet 20%
Zakho Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shabab Zakho
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.87 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Gulf Club Champions League
Zakho vs Al Shabab
1:2
Mar 3, 2026 Gulf Club Champions League
Al Shabab vs Zakho
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shabab 31 / 100
Zakho 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shabab Zakho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shabab Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shabab scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Zakho let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Al Shabab has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Shabab VS Zakho
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shabab

(Home)
12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0
Al Fayha
09 Sept
Al Kholood
2 : 1
Al Shabab
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2
Al Hilal
30 Aug
Al Hazem Rass
1 : 1
Al Shabab
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3
Al Riyadh
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Zakho

(Away)
19 Sept
Al-Karma
1 : 0
Zakho
13 Sept
Zakho
2 : 1
Al Mosul
09 Sept
Al Golan
1 : 1
Zakho
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0
Zakho
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Zakho 1
Al Shabab 2
Al Rayyan 2
Al Qadisiya 0
Final
Al Shabab 0
Al Rayyan 3