Sport Picks

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Al-Shabbab vs Al-Budaiya

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
dos Santos Junior D.
60' Event
dos Santos Junior D.
67' Event
Al Qassab H.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al-Shabbab and Al-Budaiya finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Budaiya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Al-Shabbab
15%
Draws
49%
Al-Budaiya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Budaiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Budaiya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Al-Shabbab's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Al-Shabbab Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Budaiya Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Shabbab Al-Budaiya
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2026 Premier League
Al-Shabbab vs Al-Budaiya
1:3
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League
Al-Budaiya vs Al-Shabbab
1:1
Mar 2, 2023 Premier League
Al-Shabbab vs Al-Budaiya
3:0
Oct 21, 2022 Premier League
Al-Budaiya vs Al-Shabbab
0:2
Oct 11, 2021 Bahrain Cup
Al-Shabbab vs Al-Budaiya
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Shabbab Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Qassab H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Al-Budaiya Compare

Top Goalscorer dos Santos Junior D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yasser H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Shabbab 36 / 100
Al-Budaiya 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Shabbab Al-Budaiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al-Shabbab scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Al-Budaiya let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Difficult form: Al-Budaiya registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Shabbab VS Al-Budaiya
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Shabbab

(Home)
15 May
Al-Hidd
1 : 0
Al-Shabbab
10 May
Al-Shabbab
1 : 3
Sitra
05 May
Al Riffa
4 : 0
Al-Shabbab
28 Apr
Al-Shabbab
1 : 0
Bahrain SC
18 Apr
Malkia
1 : 0
Al-Shabbab
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Al-Budaiya

(Away)
30 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 1
Al-Budaiya
25 May
Al-Budaiya
0 : 3
Al-Najma
21 May
Al-Budaiya
0 : 1
Manama Club
15 May
Al-Budaiya
2 : 2
Al-Ahli
10 May
Aali Club
2 : 0
Al-Budaiya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Muharraq 22 17 4 1 45:7 55
2 Al Khalidiyah 22 18 0 4 42:16 54
3 Al Riffa 22 15 4 3 41:17 49
4 Malkia 22 9 6 7 23:16 33
5 Aali Club 22 9 4 9 19:20 31
6 Al-Hidd 22 8 6 8 29:23 30
7 Al-Ahli 22 7 6 9 28:28 27
8 Sitra 22 7 6 9 22:31 27
9 Al-Budaiya 22 6 4 12 24:34 22
10 Al-Najma 22 6 4 12 21:35 22
11 Al-Shabbab 22 3 5 14 8:34 14
12 Bahrain SC 22 2 1 19 15:56 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)