Sport Picks

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Al-Shabbab vs Manama Club

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Firmino
70' Event
Almeida M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Al-Shabbab
15%
Draws
49%
Manama Club
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manama Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Shabbab have won more games recently than Manama Club.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Al-Shabbab Clean Sheet 20%
Manama Club Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Shabbab Manama Club
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 8 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 0.74 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.49 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Premier League
Al-Shabbab vs Manama Club
1:1
Jan 11, 2025 Premier League
Manama Club vs Al-Shabbab
0:2
Mar 23, 2024 Bahrain Cup
Al-Shabbab vs Manama Club
0:1
Feb 14, 2024 Premier League
Manama Club vs Al-Shabbab
1:1
Sep 22, 2023 Premier League
Al-Shabbab vs Manama Club
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Shabbab Compare

Top Goalscorer Firmino
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Manama Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Almeida M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Shabbab 32 / 100
Manama Club 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Shabbab Manama Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manama Club Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manama Club has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Attacking prowess: Al-Shabbab scored in 66% of their last 35 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Manama Club registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al-Shabbab VS Manama Club
0.63 Goals Scored 1.57
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.14
63% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Shabbab

(Home)
15 May
Al-Hidd
1 : 0
Al-Shabbab
10 May
Al-Shabbab
1 : 3
Sitra
05 May
Al Riffa
4 : 0
Al-Shabbab
28 Apr
Al-Shabbab
1 : 0
Bahrain SC
18 Apr
Malkia
1 : 0
Al-Shabbab
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Manama Club

(Away)
10 Sept
Al-Muharraq
3 : 1
Manama Club
05 Sept
Manama Club
1 : 5
Al Riffa
29 Aug
Aali Club
1 : 1
Manama Club
30 May
Al-Najma
3 : 2
Manama Club
25 May
Manama Club
3 : 0
Al-Ittihad
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Muharraq 22 16 3 3 54:17 51
2 Al Khalidiyah 22 13 3 6 40:26 42
3 Sitra 22 10 8 4 33:21 38
4 Al Riffa 22 11 5 6 39:27 38
5 Al-Shabbab 22 7 9 6 23:23 30
6 Malkia 22 6 10 6 23:27 28
7 Al-Ahli 22 8 3 11 32:35 27
8 Al-Najma 22 7 6 9 29:29 27
9 Bahrain SC 22 6 5 11 27:41 23
10 Ali CSC 22 6 5 11 26:37 23
11 East Riffa 22 4 8 10 21:31 20
12 Manama Club 22 2 7 13 15:48 13
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)