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Al Shat vs Al Ahly Tripoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Libya Libya

Premier League 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Al Shat
15%
Draws
85%
Al Ahly Tripoli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Ahly Tripoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Shat haven't matched Al Ahly Tripoli's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al Ahly Tripoli's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Ahly Tripoli have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Al Shat Clean Sheet 12%
Al Ahly Tripoli Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shat Al Ahly Tripoli
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 23
Draws 7 6
Losses 18 2
Goals Scored 0.5 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.42
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2022 Premier League
Al Shat vs Al Ahly Tripoli
0:0
Nov 21, 2021 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Al Shat
1:0
Jun 26, 2021 Premier League
Al Shat vs Al Ahly Tripoli
0:1
Feb 16, 2021 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Al Shat
2:1
Feb 8, 2019 Premier League
Al Shat vs Al Ahly Tripoli
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shat 10 / 100
Al Ahly Tripoli 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shat Al Ahly Tripoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahly Tripoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Al Shat scored in 37% of their last 30 outings.

Al Ahly Tripoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 32% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al Ahly Tripoli
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shat

(Home)
27 Jun
Al Shat
0 : 1
Al Khmes
24 Jun
Al Shat
0 : 4
Al Mahalla Tripoli
11 May
Al Ittihad Misurata
3 : 0
Al Shat
25 Mar
Al Ittihad
2 : 0
Al Shat
16 Mar
Abu Salim
2 : 1
Al Shat
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Al Ahly Tripoli

(Away)
12 Sept
Al Ahly Tripoli
4 : 0
KMKM
05 Sept
KMKM
0 : 3
Al Ahly Tripoli
24 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
0 : 0
Asswehly
20 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
2 : 1
Olympic Azzaweya
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1
Al Ahly Tripoli
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Benghazi 18 14 2 2 27:7 44
2 Al Nasr 18 11 4 3 35:14 37
3 Al Akhdar 18 10 6 2 37:14 36
4 Al Hilal Benghazi 18 5 7 6 13:15 22
5 Al Sadaqa 18 5 6 7 14:20 21
6 Al Taawun 18 5 5 8 23:22 20
7 Al Tahaddi 18 4 5 9 17:28 17
8 Darnes 18 3 7 8 14:23 16
9 Shabaab Al Jabal 18 4 4 10 15:34 16
10 Khaleej Sirte 18 2 8 8 20:38 14
Promotion - Premier League 2021/2022 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premier League 2021/2022 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 18 9 7 2 23:9 34
2 Al Ittihad 18 9 5 4 22:13 32
3 Olympic Azzaweya 18 8 6 4 19:18 30
4 Asswehly 18 7 7 4 24:15 28
5 Al Ittihad Misurata 18 6 8 4 18:13 26
6 Al Mahalla Tripoli 18 5 8 5 23:19 23
7 Al Madina 18 4 9 5 15:18 21
8 Abu Salim 18 4 8 6 9:18 20
9 Al Khmes 18 3 8 7 14:18 17
10 Al Shat 18 0 4 14 5:31 4
Promotion - Premier League 2021/2022 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premier League 2021/2022 (Relegation)