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Al Shorta vs Al Jaish - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Syria Syria

Premier League 2025/2026 Tishreen Stadium, Damascus
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Match Events

14' Event
Brice K.
90' Event

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Al Shorta
20%
Draws
40%
Al Jaish
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Al Jaish have won more games recently than Al Shorta.
  • Al Shorta are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 68%
Al Jaish Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shorta Al Jaish
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.9 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Al Jaish
1:1
Jan 8, 2026 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Al Shorta
0:0
Oct 26, 2024 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Al Shorta
2:0
Jun 9, 2023 Syria Cup
Al Shorta vs Al Jaish
2:3
Apr 5, 2022 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Al Jaish
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Shorta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Al Jaish Compare

Top Goalscorer Brice K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shorta 50 / 100
Al Jaish 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shorta Al Jaish

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shorta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shorta scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Al Shorta stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Al Jaish's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Shorta VS Al Jaish
1 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shorta

(Home)
04 Jul
Al Shorta
0 : 1
Horriya
01 Jul
Umayya
1 : 2
Al Shorta
24 Jun
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Al Wahda
19 Jun
Al Karamah
5 : 2
Al Shorta
13 Jun
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al Shouleh
Page 1 of 6

Al Jaish

(Away)
03 Jul
Al Ittihad Aleppo
2 : 0
Al Jaish
28 Jun
Al Jaish
0 : 3
Homs Al Fidaa
24 Jun
Damascus Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Jaish
19 Jun
Al Jaish
1 : 0
Foutoua
13 Jun
Khan Shaykhun
0 : 0
Al Jaish
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
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