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Al Shorta vs Al Karkh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Shorta host Al Karkh in the Stars League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Al Karkh have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Al Shorta have conceded 0.77 and scored 1.68. Past meetings favor Al Shorta slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 28, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 0.88) point toward Al Shorta. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Al Shorta
30%
Draws
27%
Al Karkh
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Shorta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Shorta come out ahead of Al Karkh on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Shorta's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Shorta have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 20%
Al Karkh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shorta Al Karkh
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.68 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Al Shorta
0:2
Nov 20, 2025 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Al Karkh
3:0
May 8, 2025 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Al Karkh
1:0
Dec 11, 2024 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Al Shorta
1:2
May 21, 2024 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Al Karkh
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shorta 58 / 100
Al Karkh 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shorta Al Karkh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shorta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shorta found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Al Karkh has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Al Shorta stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Al Shorta VS Al Karkh
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shorta

(Home)
19 Sept
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al Kahraba
16 Sept
Al Shorta
1 : 0
Al Seeb
12 Sept
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Ghaz Al Shamal
08 Sept
Al Gharraf
1 : 2
Al Shorta
04 Sept
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Erbil
Page 1 of 7

Al Karkh

(Away)
17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Naft Missan
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Duhok
09 Sept
Al Talaba
3 : 2
Al Karkh
04 Sept
Karbala
1 : 0
Al Karkh
29 Aug
Al Karkh
2 : 2
Al Kahraba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
3 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
4 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
5 Al Shorta 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 8 1 5 2 11:12 8
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
15 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
16 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)