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Al Shorta vs Damascus Al-Ahli

Syria Syria

Premier League Tishreen Stadium, Damascus
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Mohammed A.
42' Event
Rajab A.
45' Event
Antwi R.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Shorta and Damascus Al-Ahli finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Damascus Al-Ahli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Al Shorta
28%
Draws
50%
Damascus Al-Ahli
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Damascus Al-Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Damascus Al-Ahli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Damascus Al-Ahli's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 20%
Damascus Al-Ahli Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shorta Damascus Al-Ahli
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Damascus Al-Ahli
1:2
Feb 14, 2026 Premier League
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Al Shorta
2:0
Feb 8, 2019 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Damascus Al-Ahli
2:1
Sep 28, 2018 Premier League
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Al Shorta
0:0
Jul 13, 2018 Syria Cup
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Al Shorta
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Shorta Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohammed A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Damascus Al-Ahli Compare

Top Goalscorer Rajab A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antwi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shorta 24 / 100
Damascus Al-Ahli 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shorta Damascus Al-Ahli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Damascus Al-Ahli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Al Shorta scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Al Shorta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Shorta VS Damascus Al-Ahli
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shorta

(Home)
04 Jul
Al Shorta
0 : 1
Horriya
01 Jul
Umayya
1 : 2
Al Shorta
24 Jun
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Al Wahda
19 Jun
Al Karamah
5 : 2
Al Shorta
13 Jun
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al-Shouleh
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Damascus Al-Ahli

(Away)
04 Jul
Damascus Al-Ahli
3 : 2
Foutoua
28 Jun
Hottin
2 : 3
Damascus Al-Ahli
24 Jun
Damascus Al-Ahli
0 : 1
Al Jaish
19 Jun
Horriya
2 : 3
Damascus Al-Ahli
13 Jun
Damascus Al-Ahli
4 : 1
Jableh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Ittihad Aleppo30227183:2573
2Homs Al Fidaa30226255:1272
3Al Wahda30195653:2462
4Al Karamah30177655:3058
5Al Taliya301211732:2447
6Hottin301361133:3745
7Tishreen301111842:3444
8Al Jaish301011923:3041
9Damascus Al-Ahli301161337:4439
10Horriya301051530:3435
11Al Shorta30891329:4733
12Foutoua30931836:5330
13Umayya30591627:4424
14Khan Shaykhun30651926:5323
15Jableh30642027:6022
16Al-Shouleh30452114:5117
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