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Al Shorta vs Damascus Al Ahli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Syria Syria

Premier League 2025/2026 Tishreen Stadium, Damascus
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Match Events

28' Event
Mohammed A.
42' Event
Rajab A.
45' Event
Antwi R.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al Shorta and Damascus Al Ahli finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Damascus Al Ahli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al Shorta
15%
Draws
54%
Damascus Al Ahli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Damascus Al Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Damascus Al Ahli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Damascus Al Ahli's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 12%
Damascus Al Ahli Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shorta Damascus Al Ahli
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Damascus Al Ahli
1:2
Feb 14, 2026 Premier League
Damascus Al Ahli vs Al Shorta
2:0
Feb 8, 2019 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Damascus Al Ahli
2:1
Sep 28, 2018 Premier League
Damascus Al Ahli vs Al Shorta
0:0
Jul 13, 2018 Syria Cup
Damascus Al Ahli vs Al Shorta
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Shorta Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohammed A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Damascus Al Ahli Compare

Top Goalscorer Rajab A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antwi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shorta 22 / 100
Damascus Al Ahli 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shorta Damascus Al Ahli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Damascus Al Ahli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Damascus Al Ahli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Al Shorta scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Al Shorta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Shorta VS Damascus Al Ahli
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shorta

(Home)
04 Jul
Al Shorta
0 : 1
Horriya
01 Jul
Umayya
1 : 2
Al Shorta
24 Jun
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Al Wahda
19 Jun
Al Karamah
5 : 2
Al Shorta
13 Jun
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al Shouleh
Page 1 of 6

Damascus Al Ahli

(Away)
04 Jul
Damascus Al Ahli
3 : 2
Foutoua
28 Jun
Hottin
2 : 3
Damascus Al Ahli
24 Jun
Damascus Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Jaish
19 Jun
Horriya
2 : 3
Damascus Al Ahli
13 Jun
Damascus Al Ahli
4 : 1
Jableh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
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