Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Shorta vs Diyala

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Abdulkadhim S.
52' Event
Mahmoud A.
90' Event
Ahmed S.

AI Match Summary

Al Shorta in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Shorta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Shorta
6%
Draws
4%
Diyala
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Shorta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Diyala haven't matched Al Shorta's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Al Shorta a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Al Shorta here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 68%
Diyala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shorta Diyala
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 1.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Stars League
Diyala vs Al Shorta
0:2
Feb 21, 2026 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Diyala
2:1
May 18, 2025 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Diyala
1:0
Sep 26, 2024 Stars League
Diyala vs Al Shorta
0:6
Apr 30, 2011 Stars League
Diyala vs Al Shorta
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Shorta Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdulkadhim S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ahmed S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Diyala Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahmoud A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shorta 95 / 100
Diyala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shorta Diyala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shorta found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Diyala let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Al Shorta stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Shorta VS Diyala
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shorta

(Home)
02 Jun
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Al Minaa
28 May
Al Karkh
0 : 2
Al Shorta
20 May
Al Shorta
0 : 2
Erbil
15 May
Diyala
0 : 2
Al Shorta
10 May
Al Shorta
1 : 0
Al Gharraf
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Diyala

(Away)
01 Jun
Diyala
1 : 0
Duhok
27 May
Al-Karma
1 : 0
Diyala
19 May
Diyala
1 : 4
Baghdad
15 May
Diyala
0 : 2
Al Shorta
11 May
Zakho
1 : 2
Diyala
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)