Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Shorta vs Erbil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Al Shorta
35%
Draws
27%
Erbil
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Shorta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Shorta lately — more wins on the board than Erbil.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 16%
Erbil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shorta Erbil
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 15
Draws 11 8
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 1.53 1.89
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Erbil
0:0
May 20, 2026 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Erbil
0:2
Oct 24, 2025 Stars League
Erbil vs Al Shorta
1:0
Apr 28, 2025 Stars League
Erbil vs Al Shorta
0:2
Jan 4, 2025 Stars League
Al Shorta vs Erbil
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shorta 31 / 100
Erbil 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shorta Erbil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shorta found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Al Shorta remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Erbil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Shorta VS Erbil
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shorta

(Home)
08 Nov
Al Shorta
2 : 1
Al Naft
03 Nov
Al Hussein
0 : 3
Al Shorta
31 Oct
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Newroz
27 Oct
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Al Hussein
23 Oct
Al Zawraa
0 : 2
Al Shorta
Page 1 of 6

Erbil

(Away)
08 Nov
Erbil
1 : 1
Al Gharraf
04 Nov
Erbil
6 : 0
Kazma SC
30 Oct
Erbil
1 : 1
Ghaz Al Shamal
28 Oct
Erbil
3 : 0
Al Ettifaq FC
22 Oct
Zakho
2 : 1
Erbil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 13 9 3 1 23:10 30
2 Newroz 13 7 5 1 18:5 26
3 Al Naft 13 7 4 2 15:7 25
4 Al Shorta 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
5 Al Golan 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
6 Al Zawraa 13 6 3 4 17:12 21
7 Erbil 13 5 5 3 16:9 20
8 Duhok 13 4 6 3 20:16 18
9 Al Minaa 13 4 5 4 12:13 17
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 13 3 7 3 9:10 16
11 Al Talaba 13 3 7 3 15:18 16
12 Diyala 13 3 5 5 15:18 14
13 Al Gharraf 13 3 5 5 9:15 14
14 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13 2 7 4 14:14 13
15 Zakho 13 3 4 6 10:17 13
16 Al Karkh 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
17 Al Mosul 13 3 3 7 13:21 12
18 Al Kahraba 13 2 5 6 9:15 11
19 Naft Missan 13 1 6 6 8:19 9
20 Karbala 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)