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Al Shorta vs Homs Al Fidaa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Syria Syria

Premier League Tishreen Stadium, Damascus
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Shorta host Homs Al Fidaa in the Premier League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Al Shorta have averaged 0.83 scored and 1.48 conceded recently, against Homs Al Fidaa's 1.84 scored and 0.45 conceded. Past meetings favor Homs Al Fidaa slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 5, 2026, ending 5:1. xG projections (0.56 - 1.63) back Homs Al Fidaa to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Al Shorta
30%
Draws
51%
Homs Al Fidaa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Homs Al Fidaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Homs Al Fidaa come out ahead of Al Shorta on wins alone.
  • Model gives Homs Al Fidaa a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Homs Al Fidaa here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 14%
Homs Al Fidaa Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shorta Homs Al Fidaa
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 22
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 2
Goals Scored 0.83 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Premier League
Homs Al Fidaa vs Al Shorta
5:1
Jan 17, 2026 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Homs Al Fidaa
1:2
Jul 2, 2025 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Homs Al Fidaa
1:2
Apr 22, 2022 Premier League
Homs Al Fidaa vs Al Shorta
1:1
Dec 21, 2021 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Homs Al Fidaa
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shorta 15 / 100
Homs Al Fidaa 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shorta Homs Al Fidaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Homs Al Fidaa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Al Shorta remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Al Shorta scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Homs Al Fidaa let in goals in 42% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Shorta VS Homs Al Fidaa
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shorta

(Home)
10 Oct
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Al Taliya
04 Jul
Al Shorta
0 : 1
Horriya
01 Jul
Umayya
1 : 2
Al Shorta
24 Jun
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Al Wahda
19 Jun
Al Karamah
5 : 2
Al Shorta
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Homs Al Fidaa

(Away)
09 Oct
Homs Al Fidaa
1 : 1
Hottin
11 Aug
Dordoi Bishkek
1 : 2
Homs Al Fidaa
03 Jul
Khan Shaykhun
0 : 1
Homs Al Fidaa
28 Jun
Al Jaish
0 : 3
Homs Al Fidaa
24 Jun
Homs Al Fidaa
4 : 0
Foutoua
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad Aleppo 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Damascus Al Ahli 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Al Nawaeir 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Qamishli 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Hottin 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Homs Al Fidaa 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Al Karamah 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Al Taliya 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 Tishreen 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Al Shorta 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Al Jaish 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
12 Al Wahda 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Horriya 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
14 Foutoua 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Qualification)