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Stadium Background

Al Shorta vs Horriya

Syria Syria

Premier League Tishreen Stadium, Damascus
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Match Events

90' Event

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Shorta and Horriya finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Horriya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Al Shorta
20%
Draws
29%
Horriya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Shorta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Horriya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Al Shorta's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 15%
Horriya Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shorta Horriya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Horriya
0:1
Mar 23, 2026 Premier League
Horriya vs Al Shorta
0:0
Feb 28, 2021 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Horriya
1:0
Nov 28, 2020 Premier League
Horriya vs Al Shorta
1:2
Jul 8, 2020 Syria Cup
Horriya vs Al Shorta
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shorta 41 / 100
Horriya 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shorta Horriya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shorta's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Horriya has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Al Shorta has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Shorta VS Horriya
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shorta

(Home)
04 Jul
Al Shorta
0 : 1
Horriya
01 Jul
Umayya
1 : 2
Al Shorta
24 Jun
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Al Wahda
19 Jun
Al Karamah
5 : 2
Al Shorta
13 Jun
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al-Shouleh
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Horriya

(Away)
04 Jul
Al Shorta
0 : 1
Horriya
28 Jun
Horriya
0 : 1
Al Taliya
24 Jun
Tishreen
1 : 1
Horriya
19 Jun
Horriya
2 : 3
Damascus Al-Ahli
14 Jun
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
1 : 0
Horriya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al-Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
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