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Stadium Background

Al Shorta vs Umayya

Syria Syria

Premier League Tishreen Stadium, Damascus
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Al Awad E.
45'
Manoun H.
67' Event

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Shorta and Umayya finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Al Shorta
15%
Draws
39%
Umayya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Shorta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Shorta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 17%
Umayya Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Shorta Umayya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.97 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Shorta
1:2
Mar 16, 2026 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Umayya
2:2
Mar 30, 2014 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Shorta
2:1
Feb 2, 2014 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Shorta
0:2
Apr 22, 2011 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Shorta
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Shorta Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Awad E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Umayya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Shorta 30 / 100
Umayya 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Shorta Umayya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Shorta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Shorta scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Umayya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Al Shorta stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Shorta VS Umayya
1 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Shorta

(Home)
04 Jul
Al Shorta
0 : 1
Horriya
01 Jul
Umayya
1 : 2
Al Shorta
24 Jun
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Al Wahda
19 Jun
Al Karamah
5 : 2
Al Shorta
13 Jun
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al-Shouleh
Page 1 of 6

Umayya

(Away)
04 Jul
Al Karamah
2 : 1
Umayya
01 Jul
Umayya
1 : 2
Al Shorta
24 Jun
Al-Shouleh
0 : 1
Umayya
19 Jun
Umayya
1 : 0
Al Taliya
13 Jun
Tishreen
3 : 1
Umayya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al-Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
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