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Al Taawon vs Al Qadsiah - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Al Taawon Arena, Buraidah
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
03:10 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Taawon host Al Qadsiah in the Saudi Professional League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Al Qadsiah have shipped 0.94 goals a game lately, while Al Taawon have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.27. Past meetings favor Al Taawon slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 2.19, favoring Al Qadsiah. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Al Taawon
35%
Draws
45%
Al Qadsiah
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Qadsiah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Qadsiah carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Al Qadsiah's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Al Taawon Clean Sheet 10%
Al Qadsiah Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Taawon Al Qadsiah
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 21
Draws 12 7
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.27 2.39
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Taawon
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Taawon vs Al Qadsiah
2:0
May 11, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Taawon vs Al Qadsiah
0:1
Jan 11, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Qadsiah vs Al Taawon
0:3
Jan 7, 2025 King Cup
Al Taawon vs Al Qadsiah
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Taawon 10 / 100
Al Qadsiah 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Taawon Al Qadsiah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Qadsiah Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Taawon scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Al Qadsiah let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Al Taawon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Taawon VS Al Qadsiah
0.5 Goals Scored 2.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Taawon

(Home)
17 Oct
Al Diriyah
1 : 1
Al Taawon
14 Oct
Al Taawon
2 : 1
Al Rayyan
11 Oct
Al Shabab
3 : 0
Al Taawon
16 Sept
Al Nahda
1 : 1
Al Taawon
12 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 6
Al Hilal
Page 1 of 6

Al Qadsiah

(Away)
16 Oct
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Abha
12 Oct
Pakhtakor
1 : 1
Al Qadsiah
09 Oct
Al Kholood
0 : 5
Al Qadsiah
14 Sept
Al Qadsiah
2 : 1
Al Wasl
11 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 3
Al Ettifaq FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qadsiah 9 7 1 1 23:9 22
2 Al Hilal 8 7 0 1 26:7 21
3 Al Nassr 8 6 1 1 19:7 19
4 Al Ittihad 8 5 2 1 14:9 17
5 Neom SC 9 5 1 3 14:8 16
6 Al Ahli SC 8 5 0 3 20:10 15
7 Al Ettifaq FC 9 4 3 2 13:12 15
8 Al Diriyah 9 3 3 3 8:9 12
9 Al Kholood 9 3 3 3 14:18 12
10 Al Hazem Rass 9 2 3 4 10:13 9
11 Al Khaleej 9 1 6 2 6:11 9
12 Al Riyadh 8 2 3 3 9:17 9
13 Al Shabab 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
14 Al Fayha 9 1 4 4 8:14 7
15 Al Faisaly 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
16 Al Fateh 9 1 3 5 7:17 6
17 Al Taawon 9 0 4 5 4:16 4
18 Abha 8 0 2 6 6:15 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)