Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Talaba vs Al Karkh

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026 Al Talaba Stadium, Baghdad
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Abdulzahra A.
80' Event
Jabbar Z.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Stars League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al Talaba
35%
Draws
35%
Al Karkh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Al Talaba haven't matched Al Karkh's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Stars League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 20%
Al Karkh Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Talaba Al Karkh
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Karkh
3:2
Jun 5, 2026 Iraq Cup
Al Talaba vs Al Karkh
0:0
Jun 1, 2026 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Karkh
1:1
Feb 13, 2026 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Al Talaba
0:2
May 2, 2025 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Al Talaba
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Talaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdulzahra A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Al Karkh Compare

Top Goalscorer Jabbar Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Talaba 36 / 100
Al Karkh 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Talaba Al Karkh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Karkh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Karkh has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Al Talaba scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Al Talaba has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Talaba VS Al Karkh
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Talaba

(Home)
18 Sept
Al Talaba
2 : 2
Al Golan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0
Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Talaba
3 : 2
Al Karkh
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
31 Aug
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Naft
Page 1 of 6

Al Karkh

(Away)
17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Naft Missan
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Duhok
09 Sept
Al Talaba
3 : 2
Al Karkh
04 Sept
Karbala
1 : 0
Al Karkh
29 Aug
Al Karkh
2 : 2
Al Kahraba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al-Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al-Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)