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Al Talaba vs Al Karkh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Rasheed S.
Assist: Nabeel K.
28' Event
Alaa S.
37' Event
Alaa S.

AI Match Summary

Al Talaba in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Talaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al Talaba
35%
Draws
35%
Al Karkh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Karkh lately — more wins on the board than Al Talaba.
  • Model gives Al Talaba a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 20%
Al Karkh Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Talaba Al Karkh
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.36 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Karkh
3:2
Jun 5, 2026 Iraq Cup
Al Talaba vs Al Karkh
0:0
Jun 1, 2026 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Karkh
1:1
Feb 13, 2026 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Al Talaba
0:2
May 2, 2025 Stars League
Al Karkh vs Al Talaba
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Talaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Rasheed S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mezher M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Al Karkh Compare

Top Goalscorer Alaa S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Talaba 36 / 100
Al Karkh 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Talaba Al Karkh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Karkh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Al Talaba scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Al Talaba has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Talaba VS Al Karkh
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Talaba

(Home)
18 Sept
Al Talaba
2 : 2
Al Golan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0
Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Talaba
3 : 2
Al Karkh
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
31 Aug
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Naft
Page 1 of 6

Al Karkh

(Away)
17 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Naft Missan
13 Sept
Al Karkh
3 : 2
Duhok
09 Sept
Al Talaba
3 : 2
Al Karkh
04 Sept
Karbala
1 : 0
Al Karkh
29 Aug
Al Karkh
2 : 2
Al Kahraba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 9 5 3 1 15:6 18
3 Erbil 9 5 3 1 13:4 18
4 Al Shorta 9 4 4 1 9:4 16
5 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Duhok 9 2 6 1 14:11 12
8 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 9 2 5 2 14:12 11
9 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
10 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
11 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
12 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Talaba 9 1 5 3 9:14 8
15 Naft Missan 9 1 5 3 7:12 8
16 Al Mosul 9 2 2 5 9:15 8
17 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
18 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)