Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Talaba vs Al-Karma

Iraq Iraq

Stars League Al Talaba Stadium, Baghdad
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Saadeh I.
Own Goal
54' Event
Maknzi A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Al Talaba
17%
Draws
70%
Al-Karma
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Al-Karma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Talaba have won more games recently than Al-Karma.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Al-Karma taking it.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 23%
Al-Karma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Talaba Al-Karma
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 10 12
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al-Karma
1:1
Feb 5, 2026 Stars League
Al-Karma vs Al Talaba
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 Stars League
Al-Karma vs Al Talaba
1:1
Oct 24, 2024 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al-Karma
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Talaba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Al-Karma Compare

Top Goalscorer Maknzi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Talaba 16 / 100
Al-Karma 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Talaba Al-Karma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Talaba's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Al-Karma has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Al Talaba remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Talaba VS Al-Karma
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Talaba

(Home)
01 Jun
Al Talaba
1 : 1
Al Karkh
28 May
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Al Talaba
19 May
Al Talaba
1 : 1
Al-Karma
15 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Talaba
11 May
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Talaba
Page 1 of 6

Al-Karma

(Away)
02 Jun
Al Kahraba
0 : 3
Al-Karma
27 May
Al-Karma
1 : 0
Diyala
19 May
Al Talaba
1 : 1
Al-Karma
14 May
Naft Missan
1 : 1
Al-Karma
10 May
Al-Karma
3 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)