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Al Talaba vs Al Minaa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Fri, Nov 27, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Talaba host Al Minaa in the Stars League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Al Minaa have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Al Talaba have conceded 1.29 and scored 1.35. Past meetings favor Al Talaba slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 28, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 0.81) point toward Al Talaba. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Al Talaba
35%
Draws
31%
Al Minaa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Talaba lately — more wins on the board than Al Minaa.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 20%
Al Minaa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Talaba Al Minaa
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 14 12
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.35 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Al Talaba
1:1
Jan 19, 2026 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Minaa
1:2
Jun 21, 2025 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Al Talaba
2:3
Nov 2, 2024 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Minaa
1:0
Jul 5, 2024 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Al Talaba
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Talaba 31 / 100
Al Minaa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Talaba Al Minaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Talaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Talaba has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al Talaba scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Al Minaa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Al Talaba VS Al Minaa
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Talaba

(Home)
06 Nov
Al Talaba
2 : 2
Ghaz Al Shamal
30 Oct
Karbala
2 : 2
Al Talaba
22 Oct
Al Talaba
1 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
16 Oct
Al Kahraba
0 : 1
Al Talaba
08 Oct
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Shorta
Page 1 of 7

Al Minaa

(Away)
05 Nov
Diyala
0 : 0
Al Minaa
29 Oct
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 0
Al Minaa
24 Oct
Al Minaa
2 : 1
Al Karma
16 Oct
Newroz
2 : 0
Al Minaa
10 Oct
Al Minaa
2 : 0
Ghaz Al Shamal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 13 9 3 1 23:10 30
2 Newroz 13 7 5 1 18:5 26
3 Al Naft 13 7 4 2 15:7 25
4 Al Shorta 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
5 Al Golan 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
6 Al Zawraa 13 6 3 4 17:12 21
7 Erbil 13 5 5 3 16:9 20
8 Duhok 13 4 6 3 20:16 18
9 Al Minaa 13 4 5 4 12:13 17
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 13 3 7 3 9:10 16
11 Al Talaba 13 3 7 3 15:18 16
12 Diyala 13 3 5 5 15:18 14
13 Al Gharraf 13 3 5 5 9:15 14
14 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13 2 7 4 14:14 13
15 Zakho 13 3 4 6 10:17 13
16 Al Karkh 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
17 Al Mosul 13 3 3 7 13:21 12
18 Al Kahraba 13 2 5 6 9:15 11
19 Naft Missan 13 1 6 6 8:19 9
20 Karbala 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)