Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Talaba vs Al Naft

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026 Al Talaba Stadium, Baghdad
Al Talaba Logo

Al Talaba

0 - 0
FT
Al Naft Logo

Al Naft

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Stars League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Al Talaba
35%
Draws
40%
Al Naft
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Naft

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Talaba lately — more wins on the board than Al Naft.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Al Naft taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 21%
Al Naft Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Talaba Al Naft
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 10 12
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.36 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Naft
0:0
Mar 30, 2026 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Naft
0:0
Sep 25, 2025 Stars League
Al Naft vs Al Talaba
3:0
Apr 21, 2025 Stars League
Al Naft vs Al Talaba
0:0
Jan 24, 2025 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Naft
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Talaba 29 / 100
Al Naft 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Talaba Al Naft

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Naft Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Talaba's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Al Naft has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Al Talaba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al Talaba VS Al Naft
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Talaba

(Home)
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0
Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Talaba
3 : 2
Al Karkh
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
31 Aug
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Naft
26 Aug
Al Talaba
0 : 3
Newroz
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Al Naft

(Away)
14 Sept
Al Naft
2 : 1
Karbala
09 Sept
Al-Karma
3 : 0
Al Naft
05 Sept
Al Minaa
0 : 3
Al Naft
31 Aug
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Naft
26 Aug
Al Naft
1 : 1
Duhok
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al-Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al-Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)