Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Talaba vs Al Naft

Iraq Iraq

Stars League Al Talaba Stadium, Baghdad
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Al Talaba
20%
Draws
38%
Al Naft
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Talaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Talaba lately — more wins on the board than Al Naft.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Al Talaba taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 68%
Al Naft Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Talaba Al Naft
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 9 11
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Naft
0:0
Sep 25, 2025 Stars League
Al Naft vs Al Talaba
3:0
Apr 21, 2025 Stars League
Al Naft vs Al Talaba
0:0
Jan 24, 2025 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Naft
1:0
Jul 10, 2024 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Al Naft
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Talaba 51 / 100
Al Naft 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Talaba Al Naft

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Talaba's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Al Naft has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Al Talaba went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al Talaba VS Al Naft
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Talaba

(Home)
01 Jun
Al Talaba
1 : 1
Al Karkh
28 May
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Al Talaba
19 May
Al Talaba
1 : 1
Al-Karma
15 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Talaba
11 May
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Talaba
Page 1 of 6

Al Naft

(Away)
01 Jun
Al Naft
2 : 1
Newroz
27 May
Al Zawraa
0 : 1
Al Naft
19 May
Al Naft
1 : 1
Duhok
14 May
Al Naft
1 : 1
Al Minaa
10 May
Naft Missan
3 : 0
Al Naft
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)