Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Talaba vs Newroz

Iraq Iraq

Stars League Al Talaba Stadium, Baghdad
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Yousif A.
63' Event
Ridha Jalil M.
67' Event
Hussein M.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al Talaba and Newroz finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Al Talaba
33%
Draws
27%
Newroz
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Al Talaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Newroz come out ahead of Al Talaba on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al Talaba a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 68%
Newroz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Talaba Newroz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 10 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Newroz
2:2
Jan 14, 2026 Stars League
Newroz vs Al Talaba
0:1
Mar 14, 2025 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Newroz
3:1
Oct 29, 2024 Stars League
Newroz vs Al Talaba
1:0
Jun 8, 2024 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Newroz
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Talaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Yousif A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Newroz Compare

Top Goalscorer Ridha Jalil M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hussein M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Talaba 50 / 100
Newroz 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Talaba Newroz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Talaba found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Newroz has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Al Talaba remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Talaba VS Newroz
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Talaba

(Home)
01 Jun
Al Talaba
1 : 1
Al Karkh
28 May
Al Minaa
1 : 1
Al Talaba
19 May
Al Talaba
1 : 1
Al-Karma
15 May
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
2 : 1
Al Talaba
11 May
Al Mosul
2 : 2
Al Talaba
Page 1 of 6

Newroz

(Away)
01 Jun
Al Naft
2 : 1
Newroz
27 May
Newroz
1 : 1
Al Mosul
20 May
Newroz
2 : 1
Zakho
16 May
Erbil
0 : 1
Newroz
11 May
Al Kahraba
2 : 1
Newroz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)