Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Yousif A.
63'
63'
Ridha Jalil M.
67'
67'
Hussein M.
AI Match Summary
The Stars League 2025/2026 game between Al Talaba and Newroz finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
35%
42%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Newroz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Newroz come out ahead of Al Talaba on wins alone.
- Model gives Newroz a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Stars League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 16%
Newroz Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Talaba | Newroz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 26, 2026 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Newroz
0:3
Apr 22, 2026 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Newroz
2:2
Jan 14, 2026 Stars League
Newroz vs Al Talaba
0:1
Mar 14, 2025 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Newroz
3:1
Oct 29, 2024 Stars League
Newroz vs Al Talaba
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Talaba Compare
Top Goalscorer Yousif A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Newroz Compare
Top Goalscorer Ridha Jalil M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hussein M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Talaba 10 / 100
Newroz 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Talaba Newroz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Newroz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Talaba found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Al Talaba has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Newroz conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Al Talaba VS Newroz
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Talaba
(Home) 18 Sept
Al Talaba
2 : 2 Al Golan
13 Sept
Naft Missan
2 : 0 Al Talaba
09 Sept
Al Talaba
3 : 2 Al Karkh
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0 Al Talaba
31 Aug
Al Talaba
0 : 0 Al Naft
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Al Talaba
2 : 2 Al Golan
09 Sept
Al Talaba
3 : 2 Al Karkh
31 Aug
Al Talaba
0 : 0 Al Naft
26 Aug
Al Talaba
0 : 3 Newroz
01 Jun
Al Talaba
1 : 1 Al Karkh
Page 1 of 3
Newroz
(Away) 19 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 0 Newroz
14 Sept
Al Golan
0 : 2 Newroz
09 Sept
Newroz
3 : 0 Al Mosul
04 Sept
Naft Missan
0 : 2 Newroz
30 Aug
Newroz
0 : 0 Duhok
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 0 Newroz
14 Sept
Al Golan
0 : 2 Newroz
04 Sept
Naft Missan
0 : 2 Newroz
26 Aug
Al Talaba
0 : 3 Newroz
22 Aug
Al Gharraf
1 : 0 Newroz
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 62:28 | 89 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 69:32 | 80 |
| 3 | Erbil | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 59:32 | 79 |
| 4 | Al Zawraa | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 50:32 | 66 |
| 5 | Al-Karma | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 53:26 | 65 |
| 6 | Al Talaba | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 53:38 | 65 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51:41 | 60 |
| 8 | Newroz | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 48:47 | 54 |
| 9 | Zakho | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 49:45 | 53 |
| 10 | Duhok | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 44:45 | 50 |
| 11 | Diyala | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40:42 | 49 |
| 12 | Al Naft | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 33:34 | 48 |
| 13 | Al Mosul | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 46:49 | 47 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 40:43 | 44 |
| 15 | Naft Missan | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 48:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Al Minaa | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 38:47 | 40 |
| 17 | Al Kahraba | 37 | 11 | 5 | 21 | 44:56 | 38 |
| 18 | Baghdad | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 47:68 | 37 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 31:68 | 23 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 38 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 21:96 | 6 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
