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Al Taliya vs Horriya Prediction & H2H Stats

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Rasho S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Taliya and Horriya finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Taliya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Al Taliya
15%
Draws
26%
Horriya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Taliya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Taliya come out ahead of Horriya on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Al Taliya's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Taliya here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Al Taliya Clean Sheet 20%
Horriya Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Taliya Horriya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 11 5
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.07 1
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Premier League
Horriya vs Al Taliya
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 Premier League
Al Taliya vs Horriya
1:0
Mar 1, 2024 Premier League
Al Taliya vs Horriya
1:0
Nov 3, 2023 Premier League
Horriya vs Al Taliya
0:1
Apr 24, 2021 Premier League
Al Taliya vs Horriya
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Taliya Compare

Top Goalscorer Rasho S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Horriya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Taliya 40 / 100
Horriya 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Taliya Horriya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Taliya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Taliya scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Horriya has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Al Taliya stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Taliya VS Horriya
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Taliya

(Home)
03 Jul
Al Taliya
1 : 0
Hottin
28 Jun
Horriya
0 : 1
Al Taliya
24 Jun
Al Taliya
1 : 0
Jableh
19 Jun
Umayya
1 : 0
Al Taliya
14 Jun
Al Taliya
0 : 1
Al Wahda
Page 1 of 6

Horriya

(Away)
04 Jul
Al Shorta
0 : 1
Horriya
28 Jun
Horriya
0 : 1
Al Taliya
24 Jun
Tishreen
1 : 1
Horriya
19 Jun
Horriya
2 : 3
Damascus Al-Ahli
14 Jun
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
1 : 0
Horriya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al-Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
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