Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Taliya vs Umayya

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Toman A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Taliya and Umayya finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Taliya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Al Taliya
15%
Draws
34%
Umayya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Taliya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Taliya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Al Taliya a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Al Taliya Clean Sheet 20%
Umayya Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Taliya Umayya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 11 9
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.07 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Taliya
1:0
Mar 6, 2026 Premier League
Al Taliya vs Umayya
1:0
Apr 30, 2013 Premier League
Al Taliya vs Umayya
2:1
Mar 18, 2013 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Taliya
1:1
Apr 8, 2011 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Taliya
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Taliya Compare

Top Goalscorer Toman A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Umayya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Taliya 49 / 100
Umayya 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Taliya Umayya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Taliya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Taliya's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Umayya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Al Taliya stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Umayya's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Taliya VS Umayya
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Taliya

(Home)
03 Jul
Al Taliya
1 : 0
Hottin
28 Jun
Horriya
0 : 1
Al Taliya
24 Jun
Al Taliya
1 : 0
Jableh
19 Jun
Umayya
1 : 0
Al Taliya
14 Jun
Al Taliya
0 : 1
Al Wahda
Page 1 of 6

Umayya

(Away)
04 Jul
Al Karamah
2 : 1
Umayya
01 Jul
Umayya
1 : 2
Al Shorta
24 Jun
Al-Shouleh
0 : 1
Umayya
19 Jun
Umayya
1 : 0
Al Taliya
13 Jun
Tishreen
3 : 1
Umayya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al-Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
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