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Al Thaid vs Al Arabi (UAE)

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

Division 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
29' Event
Al Shaibani K.
81' Event
Saulaiman F.

AI Match Summary

Al Thaid in this Division 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Thaid.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Al Thaid
15%
Draws
39%
Al Arabi (UAE)
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Thaid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Arabi (UAE) have won more games recently than Al Thaid.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Al Thaid taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Al Thaid Clean Sheet 68%
Al Arabi (UAE) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Thaid Al Arabi (UAE)
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 17
Draws 9 4
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.48 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2026 Presidents Cup
Al Arabi (UAE) vs Al Thaid
2:0
Mar 7, 2026 Division 1
Al Thaid vs Al Arabi (UAE)
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Division 1
Al Arabi (UAE) vs Al Thaid
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 Division 1
Al Thaid vs Al Arabi (UAE)
1:2
Dec 1, 2024 Division 1
Al Arabi (UAE) vs Al Thaid
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Thaid Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Shaibani K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saulaiman F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Al Arabi (UAE) Compare

Top Goalscorer Tunani B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Thaid 68 / 100
Al Arabi (UAE) 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Thaid Al Arabi (UAE)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Thaid Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Thaid scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Al Arabi (UAE) let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Al Thaid has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Thaid VS Al Arabi (UAE)
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Thaid

(Home)
28 Sept
Al Arabi (UAE)
2 : 0
Al Thaid
22 Sept
Al Hamriyah
1 : 2
Al Thaid
11 Sept
Al Thaid
2 : 0
Dibba Al Fujairah
04 Sept
Gulf United
2 : 3
Al Thaid
28 Aug
Al Thaid
5 : 1
Dubai City
Page 1 of 6

Al Arabi (UAE)

(Away)
04 Oct
Al Arabi (UAE)
0 : 2
Al Urooba
28 Sept
Al Arabi (UAE)
2 : 0
Al Thaid
23 Sept
Al Arabi (UAE)
3 : 2
Emirates Club
18 Sept
Dubai City
2 : 3
Al Arabi (UAE)
11 Sept
Al Arabi (UAE)
1 : 1
Al Urooba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hatta 28 18 5 5 57:25 59
2 United FC 28 17 7 4 45:28 58
3 Al Urooba 28 17 6 5 38:17 57
4 Dibba Al Hisn 28 17 5 6 58:25 56
5 Al Arabi (UAE) 28 15 5 8 44:34 50
6 Al Thaid 28 13 9 6 37:30 48
7 Emirates Club 28 12 6 10 38:39 42
8 Al Fujairah 28 10 9 9 46:47 39
9 Al Hamriyah 28 10 8 10 45:34 38
10 Gulf United 28 7 4 17 39:52 25
11 Al Jazira Hamra 28 6 6 16 35:51 24
12 Al Ittifaq 28 7 3 18 37:57 24
13 Dubai City 28 6 5 17 29:55 23
14 Majd FC 28 5 6 17 30:56 21
15 Masfut 28 5 6 17 30:58 21
Promotion - UAE League (Main)